In 2 weeks he’ll be at -10.
That’s how this thing rolls.
Does it have any value?
In 2 weeks he’ll be at -10.
That’s how this thing rolls.
Does it have any value?
____________________
The day to day fluctuations really have no value...it’s the monthly trends...he is sinking again as his “best” will be double digit negatives and his worst will be -20+ (as opposed to January where the fluctuations ranged from negative single digits to -15 or so...)
He is vulnerable. He still has many advantages — incumbency, a massive war chest, no primary opponent, etc. But the trend is not his friend.
If inflation kicks in, higher gas prices continue to pinch consumers and unemployment stays high...he may become the rare incumbent who replaced the other party in the last election, not to win re-election. In modern times, only Carter has pulled that trick off (Bush and Ford did not replace the other party...they replaced republicans).
Day by day? No.
Over the scale of weeks and months? Yes.
Trends and averages do.