That would only happen if Eu Claire County picks up more than 1200 extra votes for Kloppenburg. What’s the chance of that? How do we know what the remaining uncounted votes are in these 21 precincts. Precincts are not all equal in votes.
The spreadsheet predicts that there will be 1,700 extra Klop votes in Eu Claire. Don't know the variability around that.
How do we know what the remaining uncounted votes are in these 21 precincts. Precincts are not all equal in votes.
Your statements are true and are sources of uncertainty in my model. I just like to try to make a science out of everything.