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How Michele Bachmann Can Win
Daily Beast ^ | 04/08/2011 | Mark McKinnon

Posted on 04/08/2011 6:28:39 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

The Minnesota firebrand could parlay her Tea Party support, fundraising skills, and message discipline into a serious run for the White House. She has the fire in the belly, Mark McKinnon writes.

Though prone to gaffes and non-answer answers, she is a formidable fundraiser, an icon among Tea Party enthusiasts, draws cameras like flies, and her detractors are legion. And it's looking more and more likely she will run for president. Also, it's not a stretch to see how she could very likely win Iowa and we know what happens after that.

No, not Sarah Palin. Get ready for a conservative firebrand from Minnesota who may make memories of Palin pale quickly. We are talking about Rep. Michele Bachmann who, while Palin hesitates, has aggressively jumped into the fray. And while she's not my cup of tea (party), Bachmann would arguably be a stronger GOP candidate for president than Palin in 2012. She works harder, she's smarter, she has more discipline, more focus and, perhaps most important, she has fire in her belly.

Chair of the House Tea Party caucus and an outspoken champion of the movement, Bachmann raised more campaign cash in the 2010 congressional midterm elections than any other candidate. And her $2.2 million haul in the first quarter of 2011, mostly from small donors and before she has officially entered the race, tops former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

Her “positive intensity” among Republicans and right-leaning independents, as measured by Gallup, is higher than Palin’s, even though her name recognition is far lower. Though political pundits pounce on her every misspeak and mangled factoid, while being far more forgiving of the president’s mispronunciations, and historical inaccuracies, she electrifies crowds and displays unnerving message discipline.

Her upstaging of the GOP’s response to the State of the Union address created consternation within the party, but got at least twice the attention and coverage as did Paul Ryan, who delivered the party’s formal response. Ninety percent of politics is showing up. And Bachmann is showing up in Iowa. And she's creating a lot of excitement among the conservative faithful. And Bachmann would fill the void left by Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN), who decided not to run for president in 2012: She is both a fiscal and social conservative, which is what Iowa Republican primary voters like. If Mike Huckabee doesn't run, and Palin doesn't run, that leaves Rick Santorum as Bachmann's only real competition among these core voters. And he lost his last election by 16 points.

Bachmann’s wooing of the Tea Party vote may pay dividends beyond the base. Rasmussen reports that 48 percent of likely voters say their views on major issues are closer to the average Tea Party member than to the average member of Congress, with 30 percent unsure.

Even with all of the advantages of incumbency, President Obama is vulnerable. With the unpopularity of his health-care agenda, the budget battles in the states, and the coming entitlement crisis, there is a remarkable opportunity for the right candidate—perhaps even a surprising candidate—to win voters from across the political spectrum who are plagued by “persistent fatigue” from the faltering economy and the president’s failure to lead.

Assessing Bachmann’s strength as a candidate, Karl Rove said to Fox’s Bill O'Reilly: "She's smart, she's tough, she's funny, she's got a lot of personality and all of that will help her if she throws her hat in the ring."

However, even with Bachmann’s terms as a state senator and two terms as a U.S. representative, voters may be skeptical of her experience, Rove said. He noted that “people who are going to be inclined to vote against Barack Obama are going to look back and say you know what? We took the untested guy who had no significant achievements and it didn't work out so well.” And Rove said every candidate “has got to create a narrative that at the end of the day says this is why it shouldn't be Obama and this is why it should be me.”

Sarah Palin can't be happy to be suddenly sidelined by a new political American Idol. So, don't be surprised to see her come out swinging hard and soon to reclaim the stage. She will not give up her crown easily.

This could get very entertaining.

-- As vice chairman of Hill & Knowlton and Public Strategies, and president of Maverick Media, Mark McKinnon has helped meet strategic challenges for candidates, corporations and causes, including George W. Bush, John McCain, Ann Richards, Charlie Wilson, Lance Armstrong, and Bono. McKinnon is co-founder of No Labels and co-chair of Arts & Labs.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: michelebachmann; potus
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1 posted on 04/08/2011 6:28:40 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Rep. Michele Bachmann signs an autograph on Capitol Hill in Washington on Apr. 6, 2011.
2 posted on 04/08/2011 6:29:45 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Not necessarily the guy I would want saying nice things about me.


3 posted on 04/08/2011 6:30:13 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (I am declaring 2011 to be the year of ME!)
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To: SeekAndFind

She just came out, along with a bunch of other so called “conservatives”, urging Republicans to just strike a deal with the devil.

No thanks. I will stick with Saracuda, she is telling Conservatives to stick to their guns and not cave.


4 posted on 04/08/2011 6:31:23 PM PDT by NWFLConservative
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To: SeekAndFind

I see people are busy pitting all the doofus ass pubbies against each other.

I just wish they would all shut up. I am sick of the whole lot.


5 posted on 04/08/2011 6:33:15 PM PDT by dforest
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To: SeekAndFind
Sorry, Michelle...you're toast in my eyes. I'll work hard here in Texas to make sure you're not on the Pubbie ticket.

You and Huckabee just screwed the pooch - BIG TIME with your latest grandstanding against what Boehner is trying to accomplish!!

6 posted on 04/08/2011 6:36:03 PM PDT by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: SeekAndFind

Sarah Palin 1
Donald Trump 1
Michele Bachmann 0


7 posted on 04/08/2011 6:36:20 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: SeekAndFind

I know how Michele can win, BY RUNNING!!


8 posted on 04/08/2011 6:37:35 PM PDT by fish hawk (I'm an Atlas Shrugged Conservative)
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To: NWFLConservative

I do not understand the lose the battle win the war strategery. Except it worked for G. Washington. Anyway I would offer to triple fund Planned Democrat Infantcide to eliminate EPA. If I had no morals.


9 posted on 04/08/2011 6:37:50 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (Obama Sucks)
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To: harpu

Huckabee 0 - He should drop out... well... let me re-phrase that (we’ve had too many earthquakes lately) he should just quit.


10 posted on 04/08/2011 6:38:13 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: SeekAndFind; All


Have YOU Donated To FR Yet?

11 posted on 04/08/2011 6:38:37 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: fish hawk

I know how Michele can win, BY RUNNING and NOT away!!


12 posted on 04/08/2011 6:39:06 PM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: SeekAndFind

“...be a stronger GOP candidate for president than Palin in 2012. She works harder, she’s smarter, she has more discipline, more focus and, perhaps most important, she has fire in her belly...”

I disagree with this point for point. Sarah is at least as smart and is the most energetic personality imaginable.


13 posted on 04/08/2011 6:41:13 PM PDT by Monterrosa-24 (...even more American than a French bikini and a Russian AK-47.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Oh course they want to set up MB for the Full Trashing since they’ve run out of ways to trash Sarah. What a better strategy to pump up someone who can - after the nomination - be throughly pummeled with a whole new attack.

Personally, I see MB as an opportunist (at least she’s our opportunist) and Sarah is the real deal, the original.


14 posted on 04/08/2011 6:41:58 PM PDT by Aria ( "If we ever forget that we're one nation under God, then we will be a nation gone under.")
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To: SeekAndFind
From the article:

Sarah Palin can't be happy to be suddenly sidelined by a new political American Idol. So, don't be surprised to see her come out swinging hard and soon to reclaim the stage. She will not give up her crown easily.

Michele Bachmann is no Sarah Palin.

15 posted on 04/08/2011 6:42:06 PM PDT by TaxPayer2000 (The United States shall guarantee to every state in this union a republican form of government,)
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To: SeekAndFind

Who can keep up with all the bogus stories coming out of DC these days? If she really said that today’s fight is the wrong fight, then she can’t win.


16 posted on 04/08/2011 6:43:15 PM PDT by stevem
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To: SeekAndFind

She’s still got my vote. Honesty takes her far.


17 posted on 04/08/2011 6:44:43 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: TaxPayer2000
Michele Bachmann is no Sarah Palin.

South Carolina GOP bigwigs said the same thing. Bachmann not in Palin's league.

18 posted on 04/08/2011 6:47:18 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (I am declaring 2011 to be the year of ME!)
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To: tsowellfan

Just for the record, what Palin gaffes are you talking about, Mr. Liberal McKinnon?

Palin has made very few gaffes compared to other politicians. The only one I can think of is her brief reference to North Koreans instead of South Koreans. That was trivial compared to the unending goofs by Clueless Joe Biden every hour on the hour.

The only major television mistake by Palin was her ill-prepared interview with Katie Cupcakes during the 2008 campaign. But failing to study was not a gaffe — it was pride and overconfidence. It was not a misstatement like Obama talking about “the 57 states.”

Palin has excellent self-discipline on-stage, she did extremely well in her debate with Clueless Joe, and she would do well as a president discussing and debating the issues with the media and her fellow politicians.


19 posted on 04/08/2011 6:49:52 PM PDT by heye2monn
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To: gov_bean_ counter

I give credit to Michele for bringing out and publicizing
the $105 billion automatic spending passed with Obamacare.

However, last night on Greta, Michele sounded like she drank
truth potion or something. I couldn’t believe it. She threw in the towel.
She had no fight.

so what you are going to vote against it. So what?!!!


20 posted on 04/08/2011 6:50:05 PM PDT by preamble
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