What is that bet selling for right now in places like intrade? I don’t see Israel going nuclear first, nor Iran doing anything before this September, if even this year. I’d think a conventional strike on Iran’s production facilities would be more likely.
I didn’t get it from this article, but elsewhere (NYT, if memory serves) mention was made that Dagan was, along with someone similar in Netanyahu’s administration, the check on unreflected bellicosity coming from Barak and Netanyahu. This is more than significant; I’m surprised this thread hasn’t had more hits. If the former head of Mossad is now speaking out, now that he’s able to as no longer in an administrative role, this bears consideration, as it’s coming from someone who would both know as well or better than anyone else, and who has presumably demonstrated his ability and reliability in acting for Israel’s continued best interests.
Whether one would be for Netanyahu or Dagan, I also thought more people comment on this, but the thread turned out to be "quiet."