You give Obama way more power than he has. Remember, he did not get the nomination on his merits. What his bosses give, they can take away. And I won’t be surprised so see Hillary jump in at the last minute.
Obama is a narcissist whom defeat is so unfathomable, whose megalomania so delusional, he almost certainly believes he will win, and I'd go a step further that he is delusional enough to think he will win by landslide.
We're talking about someone who has gone through 3 budget chiefs in only a couple of years, and they were sycophants, because the idea of disagreement leaves such a stench to him.
His re-election team is in place, he has already begun his run, his campaign HQ is set up (in chicago again), Axlerod is already out of the white house and working on the campaign, and no democrat, none, has gone within miles of coming anywhere near setting up a campaign (mostly because even hiring someone to do so, would telegraph such a move and bring swift reprisal).