If you believe ANY polling then you are naive. I have held the same view of polling for over a decade.
As far as Assmussen is concerned, he stopped including Palin in his polling quite some time ago. He gave the reason that he was focusing on the current field, that is sensible, however he entered Perry in the field prior to Perry officially entering. Now EVERYTHING points to Palin getting in, but he will not include her.
Make no mistake he personally dislikes her (that is allowed for sure) but as a professional pollster, you are supposed to leave your bias at the door, or the “science” goes out the window.
Assmussen will not give her a honest shake when she does enter the race.
ALL the pollsters are letting their like or dislike for a particular person affect the outcome of their polling, this is nothing new has been going on pre Palin for years.
The last honest pollster was George Gallup, a wonderful honest Christian man and a pioneer in polling, but he is long gone.
A lot of us are leaving Palin out of the equation in recent weeks. She is not running and it looks like she won't? We just found out yesterday that she is giving a big speech in South Korea next month at the same time as the GOP NH debate. What are rational people supposed to think? Ripping a reliable GOP pollster over omitting people who are not running is silly. The few polls around that include Palin don't look to rosy for her anyway.