Palin has calculated she can win as an independent in a three way race
There are about 38-40% of the voters that are liberal and will vote Democrat no mather what, and that leaves only 60%
split two ways, and that is not gonna make it, so I don’t think so
I don't think she's done anything of the sort. She know exactly what happens in a three-way race; she saw it when Clinton beat Bush 41, with just a plurality of the vote, because Ross Perot had tapped into a very angry vein in the Republican voting populace that year.
Sarah doesn't want four more years of Obama, and if she decides not to run, she'll support the Republican candidate.