[southernnorthcarolina]

In ’08, Weiner carried Brooklyn portion of NY9 52/48. Queens = 65/35. Queens = 70% total vote. There’s your benchmarks.

Update: More benchmarks via Nate Silver:

NY09 over/under line: Weprin (D) would need about 54% of the votes in Queens precincts, 42% in Brooklyn precincts, to tie Turner (R)”

Thanks for that info, Palmetto. I'd have guessed the opposite (that Jewish voters in Brooklyn would be more prone to voting for the Dem), but the first returns from Brooklyn confirm your thoughts. I'm optimistic on this race now.

[jwalsh07]

Brooklyn is loaded with Hasidim who view social issues very conservatively. I mean real conservatively.

[nbenyo]

” I’d have guessed the opposite (that Jewish voters in Brooklyn would be more prone to voting for the Dem), “

Generally, the Jews in the Brooklyn portion are Orthodox, the Jews in Queens (Forest Hills) are secular.