Iran begins naval drills in Strait of Hormuz

Aljazeera ^ | December 25,2011

[Justa]

They haven’t closed it. They’re practicing it. If they shut the straight down it would have to be selective as the Chinese receive oil through there.

Both Iran and Iraq selectively targeted each others gulf commerce during the Iran-Iraq war.

I look at this in the same light except also adding area denial to coalition ships which is probably their first priority. Once the coalition is denied transit they could start selective boarding and passage denial.

Win or lose all depends on operating orders -their’s and the coalition’s. Whoever backs down will lose control of the straights. If Iran wins it could regulate commerce or even blockade nations.