Don’t believe any of the polls at this point.
It is unclear to me how Mitt Romney can get more than 25% of the SC caucus vote. And for him, expanding that percentage will be next to impossible. His support is NOT Elastic and his opposition is entrenched.
I simply do not see how Mitt can get the nomination.
He will not carry the south. Won’t happen.
Look at these polls:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/2829407/posts?page=8
Polls the Gee-Oh-Pee Don’t Want You to See
Newt is frontrunning and being hacked in polls.
As pointed out already here, should the continued attrition of candidates occur, most of those supporters would likely go to Santorum.
Right now, Santorum is in great shape and it's his race to win or lose.
McCain did it, so can Romney.
Methinks Perry should have had this Poll for his...
Reassessment
He can and will, if the vote is split between Santorum and Gingrich.
Face the facts, the game has changed, and Santorum is the frontrunner now.
Somehow, Santorum, Newt, and Perry need to whittle that number of three candidates down to one. The only way Romney wins is for the conservative vote to be split 3 or 4 ways.
At some point...and sadly it will probably not be until after South Carolina, some of them need to drop out so the conservative vote can coalese.
At that point however, it is entirely possible that Ronmney will have won all three initial primaries and gaining more strength himself.
Any of the three, Santorum, Perry, or Newt are fine with me. Santorum is strongest on the social/moral issues which are critical. I believe Perry and Newt would be stronger overall leaders.
Until one of them goes one on one against Romney though, they will be hurting themselves, splitting the vote, and opening the door for Romney to win more and more states.
I agree. Southerners should be reminded of Mitt Romney spitting on the Confederate battle flag during the CNN/YouTube debate four years ago. I hope I live long enough to piss on his grave.
the problem is that We conservatives have to rally around one candidate before the South Carolina Vote or Romney will win this nomination by default! With Santorum at 24 % Newt at 18% and Paul the votes are being slit.. We need 1 One Candidate to beat Romney.. As long as there is three Romney wins. Period!!!!!
he doesnt need more than 25 percent
You are correct, sir. I don't understand why that simple truth is so difficult for so many here to grasp.
First of all, we don’t have a caucus, we have a primary.
Second and sadly, it is an open primary regardless of party affiliation. This means the dems do and will vote in the GOP primary and we may end up like we did in 2008 with McCain only it could be Romney this time.
We really need to close these primaries. Newt is running strong and I think Perry will do better than the polls say.
I can say that though I don’t get out much, the only signs I have seen with my own eyes are Gingrich signs though I heard there were a lot of Perry signs.
We need a really good debate before the 21st. Our primary is on a Saturday and I can only hope it keeps the dems crossing over from voting.