As the saying goes; you are entitled to your own opinion but you are not entitled to your own facts.
I simply do not accept what someone tells me to be fact. The poll I trust will be a poll of a few people in my coffee shop that I can hear answer the question. However, that does not tell me they won’t change their mind. Nor does it tell me their votes will definitely be counted as the voters wanted them counted.
Bottom line....you’re relying on a lot of faith that any of this crap is real and we’re not all being played like a fine violin at a Georgetown dinner party with Nancy and John sitting next to each other sharing a glass of champagne purchased by the taxpayer.