[BenKenobi]

I warned that a substantial portion of Newt’s support was moderates and independents.

Of course, I also looked at the actual data in Iowa and New Hampshire before coming to that conclusion.

Santorum’s support is conservative. Almost all of it. No indies, no moderates.

By having all the solid conservatives push Santorum, we can get our support behind the conservative. Pushing Newt - doesn’t really help us, because when the Moderates break for Romney, we’re left holding the bag.

Which is what’s happened here.

I know the oversample is a problem. What is puzzling to me is that Newt is the only one hurt by the oversample. If Santorum’s getting 40 percent of those who are the conservatives, Newt gets 20 percent, Paul gets 10 and Romney gets 30, then not exactly good news for Newt is it?

[Windflier]

Santorum’s support is conservative. Almost all of it. No indies, no moderates.

Santorum's support is SOCIAL conservative. Almost all of it - which is why he'll never break out of the lower double digits.

Fiscal conservatives and patriots are horrified by the man's voting record in Congress. He's also about as charismatic as Dilbert, the cartoon character.