Intrade: Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary - 57.5%

Intrade ^ | 1/19/12 | Intrade

[BCrago66]

The Intrade investors are (unlike Newt supporters such as myself) unsentimental, and for the first time in the run-up to the South Carolina primary, their collective assessment has Newt as the favorite, with a 57.5% chance of winning. Even earlier today, after all the favorable morning & afternoon polls came out, Newt was only at about 42%.

What made the difference? A couple candidates:

1) Yet another PPP poll came out about 1/2 hour ago, including polling done this very night, showing Gingrich maintaining his 6 point lead.

2) Santorum's attack Chiwawa routine at the CNN debate tonight drew some blood re Romney, but mostly damaged Santorum himself, and will, IMHO, accelerate the South Carolina voter exodus from Santorum to Gingrich.

[wku man]

"...because bitching is your substitute for life."

Yeah, you know me so well. Go back to 2nd grade and learn to spell like a grown up, sh**bird.

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

[wku man]

If you're okay with someone being wrong on something a school kid could get right, that's fine. Bugs the hell out of me, though.

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

[vmivol00]

Check the latest poll. A higher percentage of women support Gingrich over Romney than men. Quit listening to the talking heads on TV.