Posted on 01/24/2012 4:09:15 PM PST by Scouts Honor
In short, the markets think Obama is more likely to defeat Gingrich than Romney, so when the former speaker's fortunes elevate, so do the president's.
Over the last week, Gingrich's likelihood of winning the nomination has climbed from about 5 percent to about 30 percent. Currently, Gingrich is about 39 percent likely to defeat Obama if he makes it to the general election, while Romney is about 44 percent likely to reach the White House if he's the nominee.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Personally, I don't think Newt can beat bammy.
Women simply won't vote for him.
Don't believe me?
Ask one.
Who are you shilling for ?The corporate raider ?
The problem with a Mitt nomination, SETTING ASIDE any possibly-unfair attacks on him due to his wealth, is simply this: The base of conservative voters has HAD IT with “getting in line,” obediently voting for a Dole and a McCain, and now a Mitt, instead of for a solid conservative. Mitt would lose a lot of the right bank of the mainstream.
Yeah, I think Newt has problems, OTHER problems. (I can’t speak to the polling data on women voters.) I’m just saying Don’t overlook Mitt’s problem of losing a lot of conservative voters.
Some have suggested that Newt is preferable because his candidacy would not affect “down ticket” races. In contrast, a Mitt nomination just might make a lot of conservatives sit at home in disgust.
Who knows ...
I think Newt has a lot better chance of beating 0ero than Romney. If Romney gets the nod, a lot of Pubbies will be so ticked off at being ‘McCained’ that they will stay home.
Don’t believe me?
Ask them.
Oops, silly me, didn’t see it was a Just-Signed-Upper. My bad for taking it as a serious conversation starter ..
FLASHBACK 1980........All the smart guys on TV and in the press said Ronald Reagan was not electable. They said if the Republican voters make the mistake and make him the nominee he suffer a Goldwater like defeat at the hands of Jimmy Carter. When all was said and done, Reagn blasted Carter by 10% and carried 44 states against Carters. He even carried Massachusetts and NY!
Here were are again. All the smart guys on TV and the press say the same thing about Newt. I, for one, am sure they are wrong. Newt has already been declared dead 3 times, but he keeps coming back. He is the only equipped for a tough fight against the boy Marxist. He’s the only one with the stones to attack Obama. Newt is the ONLY guy in the race that CAN win.
Ask me! Ask me!
Oh, and welcome to Free Republic.
We did ask them in South Carolina who voted.
The bombshell accusation from former Speaker Newt Gingrich’s second wife that he had requested an “open marriage” did not cost him the female vote in South Carolina, polls show.
According to exit polling conducted by Edison Research, Gingrich won a plurality of the female vote with 36 percent of South Carolina’s voting Republican women checking his box Saturday.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney won 30 percent, Texas Rep. Ron Paul won 13 percent, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum garnered 19 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry (who dropped out of the race this week) was still th
I’m comforted by the fact that “the experts” are almost always wrong. Besides, gasoline is going to be $4.50 per gallon this summer, minimum. People are going to be so ready to throw Obama out by November that he might not last till the election.
Alas, your time on FR was so short. Buh bye now.
Are you another Mitt-wit?
Women voted for Newt in SC. I know plenty of women who voted for Newt.
Romney is a problem.
When your own party's base voters hate you, you cannot win.
Newt, at least, can inspire. Romney inspires no one. But he's certainly got the vote of cocktail-party circuit Republicans permanently dependent on government, for what that's worth. And what it's worth is another guaranteed electoral loss.
“Personally, I don’t think Newt can beat bammy. Women simply won’t vote for him. Don’t believe me? Ask one.”
I am one and you have offended me. You signed up in January to offend FR women? A pox on you and maybe a zot.
And George HW Bush also warned the American people that Ronald Reagan was unelectable...
ACTIVIST GROUP RELEASES NEW AD: ‘MIDDLE CLASS’
http://www.breitbart.tv/activist-group-releases-new-ad-middle-class/
‘FOX & FRIENDS’ TAKES ON OBAMA’S ECONOMY
Nuke em from Obit! hee hee hee
The only “speaking to the polls” anyone needs to do at this point is to say Kerry was 7 points ahead of Bush in July 2004. Gingrich shooting up 30 points in one week in South Carolina is probably worth noting too.
I’m with Newt and so are all the other women in my family.
Newt’s right shoe could beat Obama!
The graph does not prove what its author (public policy wonk, aka Democrat) claims. It's a nice bit of prediction market economics and is subject to its participants as much as any other market demographic. And we all know how much we trust those with the disposable cash to skew a stock.
Ask TradeSports.
You are so full of crap. Women DID vote for Newt, more so than Mitt in SC.
Yes, I will.
Not roll over and fetal surrender like Awful Dull, and Juan Mc Lame!
We need a scrapper. Not a milquetoast liberal calling himself a conservative!
Woman here... I’d vote for Newt in a heartbeat. WOOOOOT, Newt!!
Bingo! Tallguy.
I hope someone can answer this question for me:
If Romney cannot beat Newt-—why in the hell do these people think he can beat Obama.
That just doesn’t make sense.
Is Newt that anathema to Independents?
Have the investors seen the latest Gallup poll? Both Newt and Romney poll 48 to 50 against Obama. Hope they don’t lose their shirts on this one...
http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx
Don't believe me?
Ask one.
I know plenty of women who will vote for Newt. My wife thinks he is the best candidate this cycle. Oh well, ZOTTED n00bie.
That offender of women has been killed. I feel better, how about you, ladies?
Well, you see, the GOP establishment is going to insist to the country in November that Romney is more ELECTABLE than Obama. That argument works every time.
you do not know what you are talking about
Killed another one - this one didn’t know the power of Kitty Killer FR women.
My wife has been with Newt from day one. She’s working in the Cardiac Cath Lab when she’s not treating strokes, cranial bleeds and such. She’s been right on every candidate since her first vote in a Presidential election. After 30 years, I know she’s right!
It sounds to me like he is saying that women are stupid.
“It sounds to me like he is saying that women are stupid.”
That’s why he is now DEAD! Mess with us FR women killer kitties and eat the lightning.
You got that right!
Mods, feel free to steal my graphic if you like.
Good for you! Thank you very much. What a dork.
To be added or removed from the Viking Kitty/ZOT Ping List, FReepmail Darkwing104 or 50mm.
“Good for you! Thank you very much. What a dork.”
Stupid men dumping on intelligent women tick me off. I know what Newt did for this country when he was speaker and I have been in his presence to hear him speak through the years and I firmly believe if this country is going to continue to exist as a free and powerful country, we’ve got to have him now.
(Besides, my Newt coffee cup came today and it says Newt is going to win and I believe the cup as it’s magic.)
Don't believe me?
Ask one.
LOL, sorry fella, but asking your Mom (while you were up from the basement getting fresh pizza, drinks and chips) doesn't count as an "official" survey.
That was fast work... lol... that is what I call gone in seconds..
Yet the women of South Carolina voted for Newt!
You have been ZOTTED!
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