I think you're a bit high with those numbers, but you're on the right track. If it's Obama vs. Santorum, Obama will win handily. And yes, I'd bet on that. I wonder if Vegas accepts those kind of bets.
The problem is that if it's not Santorum as nominee, then must it be Mittens? Ugh.
By the way, I'm afraid you're going to be a victim of a kill-the-messenger routine.
I'm used to it.
One of the things I like about FR is that I have an opportunity to engage my SoCon brethren in lively debate. I have learned over the years I often get a vicious emotional response, not by advocating against the positions that I myself hold, but by espousing my opinion that they don't win national elections.
I believe if the GOP is not talking about the Size and Scope of the Federal Government, Rule of Law, National Security and the corrupt Beltway/Wall Street cabal...with every spoken breath...we lose and we lose big.
I accept that others hold a different opinion than me.
I just don't think we have a majority mindshare on Social Issues and I think we've crossed the POLITICAL threshold of acquiring that mindshare.
Only if the culture itself changes will our views prevail.
It's either that, or replacing the existing government with a classic monarchy, or Federal Empire not unlike the Holy Roman Empire of old.
That bears consideration.