Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

NYT/CBS poll shows conservatives consolidating behind Santorum
Hotair ^ | 02/14/2012 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 02/14/2012 6:47:22 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Consider this a corroboration of Gallup and Pew, both of which have recorded a surge for Rick Santorum that makes him the national frontrunner — if not in each state. The CBS/New York Times poll shows Santorum gaining 14 points in a single month, eclipsing Mitt Romney by three points (still within the MOE), whose support stayed virtually unchanged from January. Almost all of the gain comes at the expense of Newt Gingrich, who dropped to fourth place behind Ron Paul among Republican primary voters:

Rick Santorum has pulled slightly ahead of Mitt Romney in Republican primary voters’ preference for the presidential nomination, a national CBS News/New York Times Poll shows.

Ron Paul is now in third, followed by former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich.

Among self-described conservative voters, the shift has been fairly dramatic. A month ago in this poll series, conservatives were equally split between Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum at 25/25/24 respectively. Now, however, Santorum’s support in this demo has risen to 38%, while Romney has remained steady at 24% and Gingrich dropped by about half to 12%. The same thing has happened to Tea Party support and evangelicals. The dynamic seems to be a movement away from Gingrich and a consolidation among conservative voters behind Santorum as the alternative to Romney, at least for now.

There are a few things to note about this poll, however. This is a poll of registered voters, not likely voters, which is not as predictive a model and is a curious sampling choice in the middle of the actual primary voting. These results come from a larger survey, most of whose results will be announced later. The overall sample was 1,064 registered voters, but only 331 of those planned to vote in a Republican primary. At least a few of those will be independents rather than Republicans, so the partisan split of the overall survey is likely to be highly skewed to Democrats. That doesn’t matter for these results, but a sample of 331 registered voters for a national poll is on the small side. Keep that in mind.

Now that Santorum has become a legitimate force in the race, he’s getting some attention from the usual suspects. Member of Occupy Tacoma tried to crash a Santorum event, and Politico reports that Santorum responded by calling them agents of “true intolerance”:

Filling the front row at the Washington State History Museum where Santorum spoke, a group of Occupy protesters disrupted the event, forcing Santorum to engage them. Occupy Tacoma, the local branch of the Occupy Wall Street movement, is camped out right next to the museum, and advertised Santorum’s visit on its web site.

“I think it’s really important for you to understand what this radical element represents, because what they represent is true intolerance,” Santorum said, after two protesters were taken to the ground and placed in handcuffs by police.

The protesters, Santorum suggested, “instead of standing here unemployed, yelling at somebody” should instead “go out and get a job.”

Santorum’s supporters roared their approval, chanting “get a job” back at the Occupiers.

First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatives; santorum
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 121-140141-160161-180 ... 201-202 next last
To: cripplecreek
I'ts happening. It is truly happening. How exciting.

In my case, I shifted 6 weeks ago.

I went from Cain. To political Wilderness. To RICK SANTORUM.

Glad I did and haven't looked back a bit!!

141 posted on 02/14/2012 6:47:31 PM PST by AmericanInTokyo (Santorum is worth a good second look, my friends. Why is it the media and White House hate him so?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: AmericanInTokyo

Here’s kind of a cool endorsement for Santorum from Dave Mustaine, founder of Megadeth. Mustaine is one of us.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2846591/posts


142 posted on 02/14/2012 6:54:05 PM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 141 | View Replies]

A humorless Bush reincarnate.

I was hoping for something new, something substantial, something inspiring.


143 posted on 02/14/2012 6:58:49 PM PST by Gene Eric (Newt/Sarah 2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Newt Gingrich's Big Money man jumped back into the race to support Newt ( and this very same Big Money man is the one who will support Romney if he get's the GOP nomination ) in his plan to take Rick down and knock Rick out of the race.
Also ? a few months ago ( I know, old news to some, just like 2008 is " OLD NEWS " ) Newt Gingrich was on record of saying in his own words that were not taken out of context that he had some nice things to say about Mitt ( LIBERAL ) Romney, and hinted at that Mitt ( LIBERAL ) Romney could be on his short list as his VP ? what ?

Is it any wonder why Newt is not putting any effort, time, and money into Michigan ?
Coincidence ?
Now who is joining forces to tag team now ?

It's Gingrich and Romney ( with Newt's current big money man, and Romney's future big money man ) who is joining forces to take Rick Santorum out of the race.... thank's a lot Newt supporters, you just got railroaded, bamboozled by Newt Gingrich to give us Mitt Romney as the GOP nominee, or Mitt Romney as Newt's VP, thanks a lot.
144 posted on 02/14/2012 7:30:37 PM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: estrogen
I'm a woman and I would love to see Newt as CIC, he's the only one who has the intelligence and experience to take on the lefties.

McCain got only 43% of the female vote. How much do you think Newt would get? Be honest, most American women simply do not think like you.

145 posted on 02/14/2012 7:49:51 PM PST by montag813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 126 | View Replies]

To: GraniteStateConservative

“The GOP was walking on sunshine in 1994 and failed to win the WH in 1996, so anything can happen, unfortunately.”

The difference is the economy and the deficit and the disaster in the Middle East. As long as we nominate a Republican that will point out stuff like that, we’ll clean up. If we (again) nominate a shoe licker, we’ll may lose...but I’m not even sure of that.


146 posted on 02/14/2012 8:02:13 PM PST by BobL (I don't care about his past - Santorum will BRING THE FIGHT to Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: chimera

“We have to be careful for what we wish for on this one. The polls I’ve seen show Obumwad with a 70+% personal approval rating, and just over 50% job approval. “

I hear you, but I still say it will be a cakewalk, providing that we PLAY OFFENSE (which is often asking a lot of Republicans). Much of Obama’s support came from white guilt - that guilt is OVER.


147 posted on 02/14/2012 8:06:59 PM PST by BobL (I don't care about his past - Santorum will BRING THE FIGHT to Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: LibsRJerks

During the average day nobody thinks with their neither regions more than men.


148 posted on 02/14/2012 8:19:46 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: BobL
I agree that if we keep Obama on defense and make him run on his record, he will have a tough time. That means we have to control the meme and frame the debate on our terms. Historically, ‘Pubs/conservatives have been lousy at that. Because the media will do nothing but dig up dirt and as soon as they do we're playing defense. We can't get a message over of our vision. We can't turn the spotlight on Obama’s failures. I mean, look what the media has done to our candidates just in the primary. They killed Gingrich on his personal failings. They've made Santorum out to be a “weirdo” because of what happened with the one child who died. Paul has been made out to be a wacko. They ran Cain out of town on a rail. They destroyed Palin in the last election. The only one they've kind of left alone is Romney, but that's because they want him to be the nominee. Once he is, they'll unload on him (same as they did to McCain). If it's this bad during the primary, imagine what it will be when one of them goes up against the media's jug-eared Jesus. They are going to destroy and bury anyone who ends up the last one standing. So we'd better be ready for it and have a plan to keep the issue firmly as one of a failed, inept President against someone with good ideas and a decent record of achievement.
149 posted on 02/14/2012 8:22:11 PM PST by chimera
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 147 | View Replies]

To: Maryhere

LOL Mary.

Maybe Rick’s Sweater vests can have their own website or FB page. :-)


150 posted on 02/14/2012 8:56:30 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("Mush is not going to carry the day" Mark Levin 2/09/12)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: Maryhere

Definition: a sleeveless knitted garment worn as a buttoned or pullover vest
Example: Sweater vests were big in the 1970s.
Etymology: 1903

1970s? We like ‘em now.


151 posted on 02/14/2012 8:59:13 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("Mush is not going to carry the day" Mark Levin 2/09/12)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: American Constitutionalist

I’m sorry you don’t see that your little fun facts are ANECDOTAL at best, and that you argumentative style is annoying.


152 posted on 02/14/2012 9:27:34 PM PST by Born to Conserve
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 138 | View Replies]

To: anglian

I was thinking the same thing. As soon as BO brought up the free contraceptives crap, I knew he was up to something-it was so out of the blue. That’s his MO. He likes to catch people off guard with a straw dog.

Now, on the other hand. Nothing a conservative says to Dick Gregory is going to play well. The outcome is already determined. Chris Wallace- I’m a little more concerned but anyway, Santorum OR Newt OR Gingrich is more right than wrong and I hope the Holy Spirit will intercede and save them from themselves by Nov!


153 posted on 02/14/2012 10:14:50 PM PST by madameguinot (Our Father's God to Thee, Author of Liberty)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 139 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Fine.

But Gingrich and Santorum supporters need to stop firing at each other.

Beat Romney.

And go from there.


154 posted on 02/14/2012 11:59:59 PM PST by DNA.2012
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Born to Conserve

I see, so all the things the Newt supporters have said about Rick Santorum was not ?


155 posted on 02/15/2012 1:40:31 AM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 152 | View Replies]

To: DNA.2012

But Gingrich and Santorum supporters need to stop firing at each other.

AMEN!!!!!!!!!!!!


156 posted on 02/15/2012 4:23:54 AM PST by swpa_mom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 154 | View Replies]

To: xzins

Santorum is Bush I in a sweater vest- extremely timid & weak, and is easily flustered and agitated when confronted. Sadly, this does not play well on t.v. He’s already being successfully labeled as a right wing religious fanatic who will take away your contraception. He does not know how to handle the media, and will easily be destroyed by them. His macaca moment is coming.

Newt on the other hand is more conservative than Little Ricky, isn’t afraid to stick it to Obama and the media, and has bold plans to take our country back from the socialists. Yes, he’s had 3 wives- I don’t care. He’s clearly our best chance to win against Obama.


157 posted on 02/15/2012 5:21:59 AM PST by petercooper (The one difference between Obama & Romney: Obama is only half white.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 93 | View Replies]

To: petercooper

Nonetheless, Rick Santorum is leading nationally, and recent polls in both Michigan and Ohio have him on top in both states.

AND, he has a great chance to turn very blue Pennsylvania to the right side.

We must not ignore the strengths of Santorum just because he isn’t our preferred candidate.

There is no way that Santorum is Bush I. He might have a streak of Reagan Democrat in him, but that puts him in the company of Zell Miller and Ronald Reagan.

As I said, he has an 80% rating from ACU and he did that from a very, very blue state and still managed to win 2 senatorial and two house elections.


158 posted on 02/15/2012 5:31:25 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 157 | View Replies]

To: Christie at the beach

Santorum is getting on my nerves recently. Especially his goofy family behind him at CPAC.


159 posted on 02/15/2012 5:36:25 AM PST by PghBaldy (Bart Stupak. Onece again, Obama proves he is not an honest broker. He can't be trusted.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Buckeye McFrog

“His support of Arlen Specter ... I chalk this up to ‘being a loyal party guy’”

He’s explained his support of Specter. It was in exchange for Specter’s promise to vote for conservative SCOTUS nominees — which he did. Possibly Toomey would’ve done the same thing; I don’t know.

The issue of future SCOTUS appointments is huge in this election. Seems that Santorum and Gingrich would select the best candidates. Paul is a whack job and nobody knows what he’d do. Romney had to meet with a coach to tell him what conservative buzz words to use in speeches and debates, and that says everything we need to know about him. The dolt didn’t even have a clue that saying we should raise the minimum wage wouldn’t sit well with conservatives. That’s basic for a conservative; how could he not know that?


160 posted on 02/15/2012 6:10:18 AM PST by MayflowerMadam (Don't blame me; I voted for the American.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 121-140141-160161-180 ... 201-202 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson