PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MORNING WEATHER DATA CONFIRM A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE TOWARD THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...IN ADVANCE OF A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN MISSOURI. THIS SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE TOWARD SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BY THIS EVENING...ALLOWING THE MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO SPREAD TO NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER PRIOR TO THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT BY MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON...AT THE SAME TIME THE WINDS THROUGH ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY STRONG. THESE FACTORS WILL RESULT IN A FAVORABLE SETUP FOR FAST-MOVING TORNADIC STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LONG-TRACK/DAMAGING TORNADOES IN THE HIGH RISK AREA OF EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS AFTERNOON.
A SEPARATE BAND OR TWO OF SEVERE STORMS IS ALSO EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA INTO NORTHERN GEORGIA...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES COMPARED TO FARTHER NORTH IN THE HIGH RISK...BUT MULTIPLE SEVERE STORMS WITH A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.