No, Romney will pick up 6 if he stays just above 20% as he is now.
http://www.kwch.com/news/kwch-kansas-caucus-results-20120309,0,2769801.story
If Gingrich had just come to Kansas and spent a LITTLE bit of time, he might have drawn off enough of the Romney vote to keep Romney below 20%. Or, to drive up the total vote just enough to keep Romney below 20%.
If Gingrich had gotten 1500 MORE caucus voters, Romney would be below 20%. If he had taken a mere 300 votes from Romney, Romney would be below 20%.
Anywhere between stealing 300 Romney supporters, or bringing 1500 new supporters, and Romney would have been denied delegates — and it wouldn’t have even mattered if Gingrich also drew more Santorum voters.
It was another case where the important thing was to do one thing, and Gingrich didn’t do that.
Just like in Georgia, where the most important thing was to let Santorum stay above 20% in order to draw delegates from Romney, but instead Gingrich ran a biting negative Robocall not against Romney, but against Santorum, thus pushing Santorum below 20% and getting Romney at least 4 additional delegates.