[SoConPubbie]

Just wait until Romney wins winner-take-all states like Puerto Rico (23), Maryland (37 delegates), DC (19), Delaware (17), California (172), New Jersey (50), and Utah (40). [Not sure if he’ll win winner-take-all Wisconsin (42).] Those wins add up to 358 more delegates. If he wins those and loses Wisconsin, Romney only need 33% of the remaining from the proportional states.

Sorry to break it to you, but as already discussed on this thread, California is not a winner-take-all state.

It is a Congressional District WTA state effectively making it proportional, which meand your 358 just became 189.

Which also means your 33% is north of 40%.

[MichaelNewton]

RCP has it listed incorrectly then.

Romney got about 40% of the delegates yesterday and that was one of his bad showings.

[muleskinner]

It is a Congressional District WTA state effectively making it proportional, which meand your 358 just became 189.

That's true, if Romney gets shut out - as in, he loses all 53 congressional districts. He'll probably win the majority of the districts plus the 10 at large delegates awarded to the overall winner. Worst case he gets 90 district delegates + 10. J.M.O.