Magnitude 7.9 - GUERRERO, MEXICO [now estimated at 7.4]

USGS ^ | 03/20/12 | USGS

[winoneforthegipper]

Tuesday, March 20, 2012 at 18:02:53 UTC Tuesday, March 20, 2012 at 12:02:53 PM at epicenter

Location 17.041°N, 98.115°W Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program Region GUERRERO, MEXICO

[dirtboy]

Reports so far indicate some strong in Oxaca (smallest circle of yellow, see scale), but nothing in the orange or red range:

[Carriage Hill]

I read that one early this morning, but can’t remember the name or find it in a search, t. Do you have a link to it?

[Errant]

Better webcam link of puerto beach.

http://pacificcoasttravelinfo.com/puertocam.asp

[tcrlaf]

FROM TWITTER:

More on Mexico: Front desk at Hotel Real Oaxaca tells @NBCNews a strong quake was felt that scared many guests, but there is no damage

[Ezekiel]

There were some foreshocks mag. 7+ within 2 days of the Japan quake.

[old school]

That’s a large quake. If it happens in an urban center, it’s big trouble.

[hope]

Yes...wondering if we’ll see others.

[HereInTheHeartland]

http://img.ibtimes.com/www/articles/20120319/316249_malia-obama-mexico-spring-break-travel-warning.htm

Story on them being there. Let’s hope everything is ok for them and all else there.

[NavyCanDo]

In comparison, our 6.8 Nisqually Earthquake from 2001 was 32 miles deep. A 7.6 at 10 miles deep must be brutal.

[hope]

hey, I missed that thread :) do you have a link or a title so I can check it out?

[Chipper]

Oaxaca is the region where the quake was at. The articles put them in the city Oaxaca, which as posted above is 110 miles from the epicenter (101 according to USGS on the link you posted). Hopefully they didn’t take a day trip to the southwest.

[MissMagnolia]

Silver lining: This will bring a lot of media attention to the trip, which the White House has been trying their best to downplay.

Yes, it will. You know there is some cussin' going on at the WH right now. Bet a lot of worried parents are making phone calls - hope kids/SS are all ok.

[MissMagnolia]

Thanks!

[NavyCanDo]

Adding this to the long list of Big Events first heard about while viewing FreeRepublic.

[Dudoight]

“Whoa. That’s what we get for laughing at the earthquake predicting thread from this morning.”

I was thinking exactly the same thing when I heard this come on the ‘breaking news’. I was gobsmacked! LOL!

[Sacajaweau]

I’m sure she and her friends are on the road...after getting some advice as to how the fault runs.

[Errant]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2861294/posts

[dirtboy]

Whoa. That’s what we get for laughing at the earthquake predicting thread from this morning. They were two days early.

Let's take a look at similar earthquakes in 2010 - 7.5 and stronger. There were four of them (I'm not using 2011 because of the Japan earthquake and all of its aftershocks don't make it a good point of comparison:

USGS - 2010 Earthquake list

Magnitude 7.8 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA April 06, 2010
Magnitude 7.5 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION June 12, 2010
Magnitude 7.6 MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES July 23, 2010
Magnitude 7.7 KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA October 25, 2010

Four earthquakes. Giving your window of this happening within two days, that means a four-day window for a given quake to seem to have some correlation.

Four quakes times four days, and that's sixteen days. That means a random prediction had a 4.3 percent chance (16/365) of random correlation to a 7.5+ quake in 2010.

Lots of folks play the Pick 3 in the state lottery with far worse odds. Some even think their particular numbers are lucky.

[Despot of the Delta]

I imagine the jet engines are warming up and 20 girls being abruptly shoved on the plane.