As per usual when it comes to the in and outs of the rules, and the math you are far more knowledgeable than I JJ. However, I think you’re too optimistic regarding Newt supporters getting behind Santorum. If Newt were to drop out tomorrow what is your estimation of the split Santorum would need? (please base your estimation on reality and not the pie in the sky theories I’ve heard of Santorum trouncing Romney in liberal/moderate states like California and New Jersey)
Not on this thread, but elsewhere I read JediJones posts that he does not believe the polling that shows at least half, or more, of Newt voters prefer Romney to Santorum, if forced to choose between them.
When JJ says forget everything but the so-called math and facts, I always recall having read that from him.
His definition of math and facts EXCLUDES the fact of polling data on who Newt voters prefer if forced to vote for one of the others.
I have no problem believing it. Newt Gingrich fell off the top tier, after Romney destroyed him, but prior to that was leading the nation, and for a considerable period was by far, the leading non Romney. Now that he’s fallen, if you look at WHO supports him and not the total numbers, he has broad appeal across political and social groupings.
The man is extremely smart, an incredible communicator, incisive, quick on his feet etc. Great debater. Theory, reason, common sense, flush with all kinds of knowledge and able to put all the pieces together. He is religious but not claiming holiness. He understands how religion works in America from its founding and can explain that without offending people or getting dragged down into the weeds.
THose who would pick Mitt over Rick are in no way saying they like or admire Mitt.
They are saying they have bigger problems with Santorum after they lose their true guy, Newt, than they have with Mitt.
Rick isn’t even a shadow of the things I lauded about Newt that draw people to the man. The contrast is jarring.
With Mitt, you get a typical pol. So what else is new?
They would vote for that in the vague hope somehow Obama loses.