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Seven Ways 2012 Won’t Be Anything Like 2008 For Team Obama
The New Republic ^ | April 13, 2012 | 12:00 am | William Galston

Posted on 04/13/2012 9:45:20 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

With the general election now underway, it’s tempting to assume that President Obama has a built-in advantage by having at his disposal a campaign operation that earned universal plaudits in 2008. But as Team Obama itself already knows—or, if not, will soon come to realize—the 2012 contest will be very different from the president’s triumphant march to the White House four years ago. The key question will be how the old campaign staff responds to the new electoral landscape. Here are seven realities that Team Obama will have to adjust to.

2012 will be a referendum, not a choice. One of the best established findings of contemporary political science is that in presidential contests involving an incumbent, the incumbent’s record is central to the public’s judgment. A race for an open Oval Office is about promises and personalities; a campaign for reelection is about the record and performance of the person currently occupying the White House. To be sure, Obama can offer his vision for the future and new proposals to flesh it out. But if the people don’t approve of his record, that won’t matter much.

No more promises of bipartisanship. Obama will have to abandon—or at least radically modify—the promise to heal a polarized political system that was at the heart of his rise to national prominence, starting with his dramatic address at the 2004 Democratic convention. And because his inability to foster this reconciliation has disappointed many people who voted for him in 2008, he’ll have to explain why he couldn’t do it in a way that redirects that disappointment toward the Republican Party and its nominee.

No more “Yes, we can.”

(Excerpt) Read more at tnr.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2012; obama; obama2012; onetermobama
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To: kearnyirish2
I'll take this family over that one running the country any day...
41 posted on 04/13/2012 11:09:02 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Turbo Pig
At the very least, the next president will get to place one, if not two Supreme Court Justices. We know what type of judge, and I use that term loosely, obama will nominate. That alone should be enough to make even the most vehement anti- Romeny Conservative take notice.

What makes you think Romney would nominate conservative Justices?

His track record, as well as the track record of previous moderate Republican Presidents, argue against such an appointment.

42 posted on 04/13/2012 11:12:07 AM PDT by CharacterCounts (A vote for the lesser of two evils only insures the triumph of evil.)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

Aye; same here.


43 posted on 04/13/2012 11:14:23 AM PDT by kearnyirish2
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

WOW!! That’s impressive!

Mittens’ head looks too big for his body.


44 posted on 04/13/2012 11:16:38 AM PDT by americas.best.days...
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To: 12chachacha

I’ll crawl over ten miles of broken glass to vote against Obama - which necessarily means I’ll be voting for Romney, but with a singular lack of enthusiasm. I’m getting seriously disgusted with the sh*t the GOP establishment keeps serving up for us.


45 posted on 04/13/2012 11:17:45 AM PDT by Spartan79 (I view great cities as pestilential to the morals, the health, and the liberties of man.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Yes, I'm sure the excitement for Romney among conservatives will be palpable!

"OK, folks, yes, I know he's a liar, he's not a conservative, and you can't trust him, but he's OUR candidate! C'mon - let's give it up for our candidate, MITT ROMNEY!" [claps hands excitedly]


46 posted on 04/13/2012 11:27:40 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (FUMR)
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To: CharacterCounts
What makes you think Romney would nominate conservative Justices?

Three things (two regrading Romney, one about voters):

1) It's a safe bet that he's not going to nominate the rabidly liberal types that obama has and is going to again, if he gets the chance.

2) Romney is a political wind sock, not a ideologue, like obama. With a more conservative Congress, and pressure from the right, his nominees will most likely be to the right of center. You can not say that about obama.

3) Even if you do not like Romney; he's not my first pick, taking a small step in the right direction is better than helping push the country off the abyss.

Look, this isn't personal salvation...picking the lesser of two evils is OK, and WILL help stop, or at least retard the downward slide the country is in.

Fight every step of the way, or abdicate the field: Small victories, or big loses...the choice is yours.

47 posted on 04/13/2012 11:38:04 AM PDT by Turbo Pig (...to close with and destroy the enemy...)
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To: CharacterCounts

Obama’s biggest weakness is not the economy. It’s the disenchantment of so many whites who bought his 2008 message of of a new post racial tranquility, only to discover that he is a race baiting opportunist in the vein of Al Sharpton.

0bama’s scorched earth campaign may energize his base, but it will alienate everyone else. Democrats used to be better at this kind of stuff. This election, however, they are taking on a more bitter tone, and that will help Romney more than 0bama.


48 posted on 04/13/2012 11:39:35 AM PDT by yawningotter
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

4 later


49 posted on 04/13/2012 11:43:56 AM PDT by maine-iac7 ("If you bought it - a truck brought it" - and because of the price of gas/it costs more.)
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To: GingisK

One belongs to a religion the allows multiple wives...


50 posted on 04/13/2012 11:47:22 AM PDT by null and void (Day 1179 of America's ObamaVacation from reality [Heroes aren't made, Frank, they're cornered...])
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To: justiceseeker93

IMHO, this regime is planning a “Reichstag fire”, and then a declared National Emergency”... FUB0!


51 posted on 04/13/2012 11:47:40 AM PDT by sheik yerbouty ( Make America and the world a jihad free zone!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I wonder if they will bring back those styrofoam Greek columns for the convention.


52 posted on 04/13/2012 11:53:45 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 31 days away from outliving Phil Hartman)
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To: 12chachacha


Every time I hear an Obama opponent say he isn't going to vote for Mitt, I think of Eric Cartman.
53 posted on 04/13/2012 11:59:16 AM PDT by BJ1
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To: SoConPubbie
There is not much left to debate or differentiate between the two.

Yes
there
is...

pathologically unbridled spending

54 posted on 04/13/2012 12:19:48 PM PDT by Publius6961 ("It's easy to make promises you can't keep" - B.H.Obama Feb 23, 2012)
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To: BJ1
Every time I hear an Obama opponent say he isn't going to vote for Mitt, I think of Eric Cartman.

In the immortal words of Dianne Feinstein...

Deal with it!

55 posted on 04/13/2012 12:21:44 PM PDT by Publius6961 ("It's easy to make promises you can't keep" - B.H.Obama Feb 23, 2012)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
btw, amazingly frank and honest assessment for a lefty rag like TNR

Not at all surprising, they were soiling their pants at the possibility that the great teleprompter reader would have to debate Newt...

Really.

56 posted on 04/13/2012 12:25:22 PM PDT by Publius6961 ("It's easy to make promises you can't keep" - B.H.Obama Feb 23, 2012)
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To: GingisK
The difference will be a $450 Billion tax increase next January under Obama.

If you own a small business, you should be able to find a difference. Your tax rate will go from 34% to mid 40's - the highest of the top 10 industrialized countries.

Do you have any capital gains? Was 15%, will be 24% - the highest of any industrialzed country.

Not much incentive for companies to keep any remaining manufacturing base in the U.S.

Nah, not much difference between the two./s/

57 posted on 04/13/2012 12:28:21 PM PDT by muleskinner
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

I’ve read many times, and, believe that anytime an incumbant doesn’t have 50%, they’re in trouble!


58 posted on 04/13/2012 12:31:51 PM PDT by cpa4you (CPA4YOU)
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To: SoConPubbie

Thanks for that post. I’ll be linking to it often.


59 posted on 04/13/2012 12:34:41 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Okay, now lets see if the RNC, Carl Rove, and Andrew Card can get him elected.)
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To: rogue yam
I agree. This article is the least dishonest thing I've seen written by a commie in a long time.

Believe it or not, every once in a great while Mother Jones will commit a Random Act of Journalism that is spot-on.
60 posted on 04/13/2012 12:36:34 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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