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To: Pravious; darrellmaurina
People here can engage in some kind of fantasy that Newt’s going to have some amazing comeback and win 85% of the remaining delegates, but that’s just not going to happen.

How about thinking? The point is to keep Romney from getting 1144. Brokered convention and a chance at a better choice.

And, even if we go to a brokered convention, does anyone honestly think they’re just going to kick Romney off the slate and pick some fresh-faced hard-core conservative to face Obama? That’s not going to happen either.

If one doesn't even try then there can be no failure? Listen, failure is certain if one doesn't even try! Surrender before the battle is foolish.

1,408 posted on 04/14/2012 6:05:45 AM PDT by DJ MacWoW (America! The wolves are here! What will you do?)
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To: DJ MacWoW
If one doesn't even try then there can be no failure? Listen, failure is certain if one doesn't even try! Surrender before the battle is foolish.

Some people are trying to be realistic here. Is Newt even running a real campaign anymore anyway? He's flat broke to the tune of 4.5 million in the hole and appears to have remained in the race just to keep some media attention on his speeches. He's said several times Romney is the likely nominee and that he is remaining in the race to help shape the platform. When Santorum dropped perhaps Gingrich was hoping for a resurgence, but his SuperPAC backer(s) are long gone and he simply doesn't have the support to even compete. It looks to me like he is just out having some fun, enjoying what media attention he has left till it officially runs out.

I chose to support Newt after Perry dropped out, Palin voted for him, Todd endorsed him, he has a lot of support on FR, but none of it has made any difference. Political realities are what they are and sometimes you have to accept them. I suppose the Rochester school of the Blind MIGHT be able to beat the NY Giants, but come on, we all know what is going to happen and pretending otherwise is beginning to border on silliness.

1,419 posted on 04/14/2012 6:50:59 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: DJ MacWoW; All

The numbers are NOT with Mitt

Posted by noprisoners49 (Diary)

Friday, April 13th at 5:30PM EDT
48 Comments
Recommenders: garfieldjl (Diary), dialove

Mitt Romney must win over 60% of all remaining hard delegates to secure the GOP nomination. Surprised?

19 states still need to be heard from, and of those states 869 hard delegates are available at the state and district level (discounting the 37 total delegates available between Indiana and Arkansas, which have proportionality rules only a democrat could love). State and committee GOP delegates number about 69, which I’m throwing into my calculations as a given for Romney.

Nevertheless, Romney still needs 663 delegates to reach that magic 1144 number.

Can he do it?

Of the 11,280,792 votes cast so far, Romney has accumulated 4,595,908 or only about 41%. Typically, Romney does not garner more than an average of 44% of the vote. Santorum averaged about 25% of the vote. Even if half of Santorum’s supporters vote for Mitt, this still does not give him the necessary 60+ % to secure the GOP nomination.

[All data from http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html].


1,430 posted on 04/14/2012 7:16:57 AM PDT by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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