I should think you're right, after so many high-profile stink-appointments:
Going out on a limb here but I will also posit (just from my own travels in/through a variety of evangelical/baptist/pentecostal/etc. church groups) that Bible-believing Blacks will reject BHO in large numbers.
That may not be accurately reflected in the poll results in November as the pollsters outside of Barna are clueless as to who/what a Christian is.
My discussions with those I encounter are that they were deceived once but will not be deceived again.