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Well, NK had already created a mess. In recent days, it also managed to figure out that it can use this situation to its advantage. Threat of unleashing the mess in all directions if it collapses could ward off pressure from its neighbors, according to its reasoning. This approach did manage to buy the regime some time. Temporarily.

Watching over this development is China. It has been making the futile effort to maintain the status quo, which is about to end. It will definitely try to control "the day after." The way it has been handling N. Korean problem does not exactly inspire confidence. It will try again to have it all by itself, pusing things too far. It will make a bigger mess, which bite it in the ass. It will consume too much of Chinese attention and resources in the end. The result is that it will overextend itself. China has outstanding domestic problems and potential clashes with many of its neighbors. The center won't hold if it is too obsessed with N. Korea. It is not the first time it happened to China. They had this problem in the past.

1 posted on 05/01/2012 6:22:24 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; AmericanInTokyo; Steel Wolf; nuconvert; MizSterious; nw_arizona_granny; ...

P!


2 posted on 05/01/2012 6:24:10 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (The way to crush the bourgeois is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Very little happens in NK without the PRC’s approval.


3 posted on 05/01/2012 6:24:20 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I could possibly be cheered by this story, if it weren’t for the fact that Bill Keller hasn’t a shred of integrity or credibility.


4 posted on 05/01/2012 6:27:58 AM PDT by DGHoodini (Iran Azadi)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
The Kims followed Stalin's number one rule to keep power. (Paraphrase) Step on the masses with all of your weight and never give them a breath, lest they entertain rebellion...

Mike

5 posted on 05/01/2012 6:34:21 AM PDT by MichaelP (The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools ~HS)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

China likely has its agents and supporters spread throughout DPRK’s Army. When TSHTF, China will attempt to organize them into a Government.

Much will happen behind the scenes. What we will likely see from the distant vantage point in the West is announcement of a coup and a quick, bloody purge of the Kim regime.


6 posted on 05/01/2012 6:36:31 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: TigerLikesRooster

” It will try again to have it all by itself, pusing things too far. It will make a bigger mess, which bite it in the ass. It will consume too much of Chinese attention and resources in the end. The result is that it will overextend itself. “

Let’s hope so.


7 posted on 05/01/2012 6:36:37 AM PDT by nuconvert ( Khomeini promised change too // Hail, Chairman O)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

China has a lot of experience with this. Their methods have been effective historically. Kill anyone who causes any problems.


10 posted on 05/01/2012 6:42:04 AM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

NK will not become democratic any time soon, it will go to Chinese rule. The people of NK are so brainwashed and undereducated there is no way they could maintain a free government on their own. It’s sad to say, but Chinese rule is actually their best option until a generation can be raised up that can think for themselves.


16 posted on 05/01/2012 8:00:17 AM PDT by Marko413
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To: TigerLikesRooster
when China pulls the plug then they're done.Until then the military will build their missiles and the people will continue to eat the bark off the trees.
17 posted on 05/01/2012 8:09:44 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I just can’t take Keller seriously here.

His words remind me of other leftists who proudly celebrated the fall of the Berlin Wall, as if they had been stalwart anti-Communists all along, when the truth is that they had wholeheartedly supported the East German regime and all of its Socialist atrocities up to the very moment when it all collapsed, in the belief that the German Democratic Republic was superior in every way to the “corrupt” American system and Western values that they despised (and still do).

If the totalitarian, collectivist goals and actions that Keller has fervently championed ever triumph over traditional American ideals and freedoms, North Korea will serve as a good model of what will result.


18 posted on 05/01/2012 8:10:25 AM PDT by Zeppo ("Happy Pony is on - and I'm NOT missing Happy Pony")
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To: TigerLikesRooster
It explains how the regime has endured longer than any of its bestial prototypes: longer than Hitler, longer than Stalin, longer than Mao, longer than Pol Pot. The tools are enforced isolation, debilitating fear, dehumanizing hunger and utter dependence on the state.

Not unlike what Keller's NYT advocates for every. Damn. Day.

19 posted on 05/01/2012 8:15:40 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

20 posted on 05/01/2012 8:21:05 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
...spotlight has focused on the 29-year-old novice tyrant Kim Jong Un, performing his family's time-tested repertoire of bellicose bluster. Like a lunatic waving an assault rifle as he dances on a high window ledge, Kim galvanizes our attention.

I don't like the New York Times, but I love the way they write. When they're on, they're on....

21 posted on 05/01/2012 8:31:43 AM PDT by GOPJ (Had a Christian minister yelled at a bunch of gay students - the New York Times would have covered i)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
The North Koreans are pretty independent; the Chinese help them to desperately avert the regime collapsing and having millions of refugees come across the border.

Yes, that is the bottom line. It's like being locked up in a room with a guy holding a grenade, and you have a gun. Kill him and you both die. China would have to somehow get around or co-opt the Kim personality cult there before imposing its will on NK.

23 posted on 05/01/2012 9:13:33 AM PDT by expat1000
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