The real numbers are:
Romney 52
Obama 48
Why? Because 80+ percent of undecideds go to the challenger. Happens almost every election.
The presidential race is a race for states and the demographics in the tossup states do not favor Obama by race and ethnic breakdown as much as they do in the solid blue states. In other words, he will shoot off a lot of his demographic ammunition in states he has already won, leaving an adjustment in these numbers even more in favor of Romney.
Obama's internals must be frightening indeed and that is why he is over the top on this anniversary of the assassination of Osama bin Laden.
I honestly did not read your Post #18 before I did my Post #41.