I have a gut feeling history is about to repeat itself, and it is not going to be like 2008. Obama could very well be “one and done” using the college March madness phase.
I'd really like to agree Obama's in trouble, but other than peoples' gut feelings and anecdotal statements, there's no real evidence showing Obama will lose. That RCP electoral vote map (253-170 advantage for Obama) is conservative measure, not including swing states showing Obama with comfortable leads.