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To: mandaladon
We all know that early polls are, at best, only very early indicators. Much can and will change.

Some things to consider:

1) President Obama hasn't even begun to unleash his campaign cash, which far exceeds what all Republicans and Republican super-PACs spent in the primary — combined.

2) For the next few months, Republicans will be largely out of the news now that the primary is over.

3) Romney won the primary by massively outspending his Republican opponents. He won't be able to do that against Obama.

4) If the maps are correct, they indicate that most of the states Romney won in the primary prior to Santorum and Gingrich dropping out are states Obama will win in the general election. That should tell us something.

5) If Romney wins, he'll have to do it without his home state of Massachusetts. The same will probably be true of Michigan. Can anyone tell us the last time a candidate won the presidency while losing his own home state?

Bottom line: Maybe Romney can win, but if he does, it will be very, very difficult — and mostly because Obama has done such a terrible job.

49 posted on 05/08/2012 5:07:19 AM PDT by darrellmaurina
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2008 + IN, NC, FL, NV, VA, OH = 271EV

5 states to win. 5. Bobo's team has already abandoned Indiana. How many Presidents are re-elected without 10+EV states they held the first time around? What were the results of the bellwether 2010 election?

Note none of those 2010 result summaries include any of the historical beating Democrats took at the statehouse level.

Where is Obama's path to victory?

50 posted on 05/08/2012 5:44:46 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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