Having Thompson on the ticket should really help in WI.
Barry is going to regret the homo love fest when he loses OH because married women bailed on him. He is about to learn how important the institution of marriage is to women.
It seems it is all going to come down to FL which makes Rubio the obvious VP.
Actually if OH goes you really don’t even need Fl.
Though I think FL will go back to red anyway.
As I stated earlier 2008 R results need 67 additional to win.
Red states get 6 out of the gate from redistricting, and Blue lose 6 thanks to the census. So you are a need of 61.
NC is going back to red, after basically recovering from a Meth High that caused them to do some stupid things last decade, like vote for Edwards and Obama. OH I believe will be solid red as well, which means OH and NC and Indiana will be red without question this time.. which gives you 44 plus the extra 6, you are at 50 already, so only 17 more are needed.
I think WI will go Red, IA probably will go red, (16) NM I suspect will as well. I think PA is truly in Play as well, as are others.
Obviously if FL and NC and OH go red, it really doesn’t matter with the rest, because there is your 60+ needed. Its certainly the path of least states swapping to get you there, but its definitely not the only path.
FL though gives me a little pause to count on, yes most seniors know this guys an idiot, but lots of new england liberals have moved in that state in recent years.. however even they can’t deny what their Retirement Quarterlys are telling em, and that’s that this administration has been an economic disaster.
I feel fairly comfortable saying NC, OH and IN will go red. I don’t think those are even up for debate.
I believe WI will as well, dems have spent the last how many years playing sour grapes up there, and folks have to be sick of it, regardless of the fact that WI has been hit harder than most by the Obama economy, or lack thereof.
VA? Don’t know the DC area still seems as crazy as ever, but I gotta believe VA isn’t completely broken yet, and will return to RED.. but haven’t seen any polling there, so who knows.
I do believe PA is in play, I can barely find anyone other than radical leftist, or blacks who will even admit they voted for the guy in 08 anymore. And those votes were never going anywhere but Democratic anyway. Most of the swing vote I interact with, have bailed on this guy big time, and the DEMOCRATIC state machine doesn’t exist anymore, the governors office is no longer cotrolled by dems, so you won’t have that boosting him here.
You know what I would like to see, I’d like to see NJ go Red, I think that would be a bigger statement than FL swinging back red.
However as long as obama has less than 270 EC votes, I really don’t care what path gets it there.. and honestly I don’t see any way he can get 270 this cycle.