Florida, North Carolina and Virginia are gone for the Messiah.
2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NV o/r IA = 271EV
I am inclined to agree.
Can’t speak for the Sunshine State, but I do spend a lot of time in Virginia and North Carolina.
I concur with your assessment of the Tarheel State; in fact, the reversal in that state since 2008 is nothing less than stunning. Two years after Barry O carried North Carolina, the GOP gained control of both houses of the state legislature (for the first time since Reconstruction); the incumbent Rat governor, Beverly Perdue, was forced to abandon her bid for re-election, and voters approved a ballot measure banning gay marriage by more than 20 points.
In fact, one of the most bizarre spectacles in American politics will occur in Charlotte later this year, when the Dims gather for their convention. Nothing like the Anointed One being nominated in a right-to-work state that Obama will lose by at least eight points.
The race in Virginia is much tighter, but like NC, the GOP has experienced a resurgence since 2008. The federal workers who live in northern Virginia will likely give Obama an edge in that area. But Axelrod and Company are clearly worried about Hampton Roads and the military vote. Last week, they began a media blitz in Norfolk touting Obama’s record as commander-in-chief. At the time, the media stenographers claimed that Obama sensed an opening, because he’s much more competitive among military voters and veterans.
Today, we found out the real reason for the push: a new Gallup survey gives Mitt Romney a 24-point advantage among the veterans voting block. In states like
VA, NC and Florida, if you’re losing veterans by that margin, you will likely lose the entire state, since all three have large military populations—and even greater numbers of veterans who turn out and vote.