If Romney shows this much progress in the swing states among registered voters he is almost certainly ahead among likely voters. The momentum is swinging his way and I would expect to see major defections from the Obama camp with the Democrat candidates turning away from him. Expect his fund-raising woes to mount. Expect to see the establishment media somewhat less reliably in Obama's camp.
Today's economic numbers will only accelerate this trend. Even the price of gasoline comes down only because the economy is weakening. I doubt Obama will be able to put any kind of a plausible spin on tomorrow's jobless numbers and that, compounded with the revision downward of the first-quarter GDP, will cause more of the electorate, especially the undecideds, to decide that they must try something new.
When this thing breaks it will be reminiscent of Reagan's break but I think it will come much earlier in the season.
