I think I also read on the SCOTUS blog that Kennedy is co-writing the opinion with Roberts. He was th one question mark (Kennedy). Surely, siding with Roberts, with Ginsberg opposing, an overturn ruling is in order.
I read a breakdown of which party each justice addressed questions to during oral argument.
The conservatives challenged the government by at high percentages (Alito- %95, Scalia- %87, Roberts- %78, and Kennedy %80).
The four on the left directed a very high percentage of their questions to the opponents of the law.
That seems to be the most predictive indicator of how a justice will vote.
Just for what it’s worth I think the mandate goes down 5-4 and the part that requires coverage of pre existing conditions goes with it. Note that the administration submitted a filing requesting the court to strike he pre existing coverage provision should the mandate go down.
I read a breakdown of which party each justice addressed questions to during oral argument.
The conservatives challenged the government by at high percentages (Alito- %95, Scalia- %87, Roberts- %78, and Kennedy %80).
The four on the left directed a very high percentage of their questions to the opponents of the law.
That seems to be the most predictive indicator of how a justice will vote.
Just for what it’s worth I think the mandate goes down 5-4 and the part that requires coverage of pre existing conditions goes with it. Note that the administration submitted a filing requesting the court to strike he pre existing coverage provision should the mandate go down.