[Jeff Head]

See my post 21 the DF-21D anti carrier weapon (and they say it will have a conventional warhead) is a red herring. I do not believe it exists at all for th reasons I cite. We are to believe they have such a weapon, with not a shred of evidence (other than what amounts to chatter in Chinese white papers)...not one operational test...that would require significant and expensives break throughs by the Chinese in multiple areas at once, and would then be attacking into the teeth of our carrier defenses, the AEGIS System which, is designed to defend against just this sort of attack (anti-air, missile attacks) and is now equipped with a system that has been tested and shown to be able to shoot down attacking ballistic missiles? I'm not buying it.

[snowrip]

While I agree with you on the feasability of the DF-21’s operational capability, I disagree on warhead selection. Based upon their aquisition of the Sunburn (and the doctrine behind using it), I think that if the Chinese are going to take the time and effort to develop an anti-carrier weapon, they’re going to make it an anti-carrier battle group weapon.

Also, the Three Gorges dam isn’t going to be targeted unless we are planning on nuking or invading the rest of China in a full-scale war scenario. If they lauch on and sink a carrier or carrier battle group, we’re going after their heavy industry, C&C, and naval assets.

[McGruff]

Didn't some guy write a book about upcoming threat from China like 10-15 years ago?