[engrpat]

Come on, your first clue should be ABC/WaPo poll.

METHODOLOGY - This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cell phone Aug. 1-5, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,026 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 4 points. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS/Social Science Research Solutions of Media, Pa.

Random sample, not even registered voters let alone likely voters.

[StAnDeliver]

"This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cell phone Aug. 1-5, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,026 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 4 points."

+/-4 MoE means that there could literally have been no change from poll to poll. Sloppy.

[marstegreg]

Random sample, not even registered voters let alone likely voters.

I tried to find the party breakdown. Shockingly, it was nowhere to be found. I did notice that the independents broke heavily for Obama (by 13 points). I thing there were a lot of Democrats in Independent clothing on this one!