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Does Romney Camp Have an October Surprise? (Vanity)
August 9, 2012 | pistolpackinpapa

Posted on 08/09/2012 5:17:18 AM PDT by pistolpackinpapa

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To: Pollster1
The numbers of votes cast is known and "reliable" and a fair indication of likely voters providing a base percentage - any deviation from this percentage involves a supposition. It also eliminates the independent vote just as opening the box eliminated the ambiguity of a live or dead Shrodinger's cat.

I also understand that a sample of 1000 yields an uncertainty of +/- 3.16% but that does not change the fact that Others intentionally slant their samples, but the sleaze in some polling is not the only reason for these results."

Maybe I'm paranoid but I sometimes feel the media attempts to manipulate rather than report.

41 posted on 08/09/2012 6:37:22 AM PDT by Aevery_Freeman (All Y'all White Peoples is racist!)
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To: so_real

Maybe the Romney surprise will be that he will endorse 0bama. They have the same policy positions so they might want to form a dual conselship as in Rome.

Oh you are so right, there is no difference between the two. We must realize that Romney too is a globalist that wants to establish a dictatorship under UN control and abolish the Constitution. We know that Romney will rule by EO and disavow his pledges to control the border and repeal 0-care.

OFA, vote for Goode (sarc)


42 posted on 08/09/2012 6:38:22 AM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
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To: Aevery_Freeman
"Others intentionally slant their samples, but the sleaze in some polling is not the only reason for these results."

I should have been more precise in my wording. There are pollsters who intentionally slant their results - through wording bias, non-random samples, or other options. There are also honest pollsters. Even these honest pollsters show a rough tie in the swing states: Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Virginia. And, yes, the media manipulate instead of reporting. As one journalist told me, "by selecting which facts to report or even lying when necessary, I can tell a higher truth through the story." [Okay, two decades later, that's not a literal quote, but it's at least a close paraphrase with the same tone as the original statement.]

43 posted on 08/09/2012 7:12:52 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: pistolpackinpapa

The surprised one wil be Willard...

Obama has quite an arsenal on Willard...


44 posted on 08/09/2012 7:16:14 AM PDT by Tennessee Nana (Why should I vote for Bishop Romney when he hates me because I am a Christian)
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To: pistolpackinpapa

There is NOTHING that embarrasses democrats.


45 posted on 08/09/2012 7:22:10 AM PDT by xzins (Vote Goode Not Evil: The lesser of 2 evils is still evil!)
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To: ctdonath2
Since when has there been an “October Surprise”? Election after election, I hear breathless cries of “it’s coming!” and it doesn’t.

How about an October Surprise at the end of September 2008?

Did you overlook Paulson's and Benanke's panic call to George Bush that the financial world was ready to explode in a matter of hours if he didn't immediately give them carte blanche to spend $700 billion dollars as they saw fit with no accountability or reporting required?

And did you miss out on all the ensuing panic and crazy maneuvering by all the major players in the weeks before the election?

Of course, the only one who didn't seem to be in a panic was Obama - almost as if he had insider information on the supposed crisis.


46 posted on 08/09/2012 7:27:16 AM PDT by Iron Munro ("Jiggle the Handle for Barry!")
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To: pistolpackinpapa
I kept waiting for Bush I's "October Surprise". I kept waiting for him to unleash all the weapons I knew he had. I kept waiting. It never happened.The truth is he did not want to win. The Nomination had been his goal as a mark of supreme appreciation by Republicans. I believe that is why Reagan took him as VP. Reagan probably judged that Bush would be loudly against him in the election itself because Reagan had deprived him of the all-satisfying Nomination.

For most Republicans the Party is a political/social club. They grant that the Democrats are the nation's natural rulers and Republicans just want to be part of the oligarchy with their club. The Nomination is the ultimate degree of attainment. The Presidency is just a pain in the ass better left to the Democrats who rare the ordained rulers, the True King as it were.

47 posted on 08/09/2012 7:35:45 AM PDT by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson)
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To: Pollster1
And the media uses those polls, intentionally slanted by whatever means, to influence the attitudes and opinions of the electorate and therefore the findings of the legitimate pollsters.

D@mn herd mentality.

48 posted on 08/09/2012 7:46:48 AM PDT by Aevery_Freeman (All Y'all White Peoples is racist!)
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To: grumpygresh

Truth hurts, doesn't it. Romney's pledges amount to mush; everyone knows this. Some folks just have their fingers in their ears and their eyes close about it. Until Romney says RomneyCare was a huge mistake, he is incapable of fixing ObamaCare. Pull the log out of your own eye before going after the sliver in your brother's.


49 posted on 08/09/2012 7:50:19 AM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: pistolpackinpapa

I think the best October surprise is to start playing back all the stupid things obummer and biden have said. That would fill the airwaves until the election.


50 posted on 08/09/2012 8:06:50 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: ctdonath2
You must not remember the smear against W with the DUI charge.

The problem with the dims is that they are making stuff up so incredibly stupid (Romney is at war with women, Romney is a felon, word is out, Romeny doesn't pay taxes) that even if they have a legitimate surprise it has already been diluted.

51 posted on 08/09/2012 8:10:51 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: ctdonath2

That DWI charge gutted W. days before the election and put the 2000 race into the history books, a weaker/typical republican would have conceded the race to Gore rather than fight it to the Supreme Court.

The October surprise against H W Bush (the indictment of Caspar Weinberger) came out on the Friday before the election and killed his momentum and what appeared to be a GOP victory in 1992.


52 posted on 08/09/2012 8:25:50 AM PDT by ansel12 (Massachusetts Governors,,, where the GOP goes for it's "conservative" Presidential candidates.)
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To: Rapscallion

“PREDICTION: This time it will be a desperate Obama who will create an October surprise so bad the government may have to suppress the citizenry using homeland security forces and their hollow point bullets on us.”

http://www.cpflorida.com/2012/07/30/possible-false-flag-obama-assasination-attempt-upcoming/


53 posted on 08/09/2012 8:43:33 AM PDT by Ancesthntr (Bibi to Odumbo: Its not going to happen.)
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To: pistolpackinpapa

He better because the way Romney is going he is going to lose.

This campaign so far is a disaster.


54 posted on 08/09/2012 8:48:24 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: ctdonath2

You may claim it is lame (and it indeed was a lame charge) but it did have impact. Most folks feel it cost him a few points in the popular vote, and thus put the election into overtime with the Florida mess. Seems to me it almost worked.


55 posted on 08/09/2012 11:01:31 AM PDT by T. P. Pole
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To: Aevery_Freeman

A few days ago, the WaPo came out with a poll in which they claimed to oversample Demonrats by an 11 point advantage. That would have been journalistic malfeasance at its best, but when they had over 35% of the polled claiming to be independent, but the internals show that over 48% of the “independents” polled are actually registered Demonrats, you know the poll is seriously screwed up, and it only had Obambi up by a few points.


56 posted on 08/09/2012 11:23:14 AM PDT by spacewarp (Conservatism/Americanism 2012. The rest can go take a flying leap.)
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To: ctdonath2

Lame. Revealing a DUI from 25 years earlier? Hardly an “October Surprise” (or even November Surprise).
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Your memory is either very faulty or you were not “tuned in” to the 2000 Election. It was a very big freakin’ deal. It cost George W. a lot of votes and could have cost him the Election. It was scary.


57 posted on 08/09/2012 7:46:52 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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To: pistolpackinpapa

There is something to say about keeping your powder dry but , you have to know how to use it also.


58 posted on 08/09/2012 7:51:36 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: burghguy

Your Post #31 is very encouraging. I just hope you’re right.


59 posted on 08/09/2012 7:54:02 PM PDT by pistolpackinpapa (Why is it that you never see any Obama bumper stickers on cars going to work in the mornings?)
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