Posted on 08/09/2012 12:33:38 PM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 43%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
The president enjoyed a bounce immediately following release of last week’s job report. However, the bounce has faded, and the race is back to where it was just before Friday’s report.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Rasmussen does partisan self-identification polls and I think he releases them monthly. For the month of July, it broke down about like this: 35% Repub, 34% Dem, and about 30.5% Indy. He uses the self-ID polls to balance his other polling results. Scott Rasmussen has been consistently the most accurate public pollster among all of them since 2002.
It would certainly wear me out if I tried to read that many lies off a teleprompter in one day.
“What the heck are these people anyway?”
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Weak minded individuals who should not ever vote in any election.
All they'll have to do is keep throwing out the FACTS!
“A new Fox News survey gives President Obama a 49%-40% lead over his Republican challenger, amid signs that Romney’s favorable ratings are falling; last month, the same poll gave Obama only a 45%-41% lead.”
Seems the Anti-Romney people are winning. Just a matter of Christian principles I guess.
As important as the actual question the pollster is asking is who the poll is asking. When Obama won in 2008, the percentage of democrats actually voting was nine points higher than republicans. Most polling organizations just carry that breakdown forward into the next election.
2008 was a very bad year for republicans. Many were sick of Bush, and few had any enthusiasm for McCain. They simply stayed home. Democrats were excited to be able to vote for the first black president.
Romney is a little better than McCain, but republicans have had 4 years of Obama to motivate them to vote against him. Plus, even democrats know Obama has failed utterly on the economy and jobs even if they won't admit it. Obama's only campaign strategy is to incite his base to vote against Romney as if he were the devil himself, but democrats do that in every election.
It seems unlikely that Obama will be fortunate enough to have the combination of high democrat turnout and low republican turnout he had last time. Plus, while two-thirds of independents voted for him last time polling indicates that he is losing the independent vote.
Rasmussen is totally opposite of what I heard this morning in the news hour. A FOX News poll with Obama up, I think it was, 47%-40%, or 49%-40%. What to make of such opposing poll numbers? I cannot believe that Obama polls as high as he does. The media has been so successful in masking the truth about this fraud.
That poll had a sample of 44% dems, only 35% Republicans
They aint concerned about facts..we have all the facts we can get.
1) Likely voters not Registered Voters.
The person called was not a likely voter, had not voted in several elections
2)Its automated so you are answering to a machine not a person (some people afraid of being called racist).
There was one question about the TEA PARTY.
I chose every option to label Obama as extreme. I held my nose and picked good choices for Romney.
There was no option to label Obama as a traitor. Maybe that will come after the upcoming civil war.
“For those of you understand polling, why is it that Rasmussen is the only polling firm with Romney even or ahead while the others have Obama ahead.”
First of all, Rasmussen polls only likely voters.
“I know the others over sample, but is Rasmussen doing this right or is he just as biased but in the other direction.”
Second, he uses a more accurate partisan turnout model.
“I want to believe his numbers, but I don’t want to be duped with false hope either.”
Finally, he is not in the business of attempting to create news or manipulate public opinion through poll results.
For these reasons, Rasmussen is currently the most reliable polling outfit on the market. Based upon his past performance, one should have a reasonable expectation that his results overperform the Republican candidate by no more than two to three points, if at all.
your the Mormon hater.
who are U trying to fool.
Fox is trying to run from that poll now.
“It seems unlikely that Obama will be fortunate enough to have the combination of high democrat turnout and low republican turnout he had last time. Plus, while two-thirds of independents voted for him last time polling indicates that he is losing the independent vote.”
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You are 100 % correct. So many things have happened since 2008 to change the voter breakdown. First, look at the 2010 midterms. Second, the economy is getting worse, not better. Third, the Walker win in the Wisconsin recall as well as the Tea Party/conservative wins in Indiana, Texas, Kansas and Missouri. Fourth, dems not going to there convention. All of this points to a energized republican base and a demoralized dem base. Rasumussen has the breakdown between GOP and dems to be roughly equal. Which I think is more accurate for this year. The “other” polls are not only using registered voters but are giving dems a 5-11% advantage. Given the factors listed above, it is beyond irresponsible to give the dems that type of advantage and claim its a reliable poll.
you’re the ex-Mormon & Mormon exposer hater.
who are U trying to fool?
This appears to be consistent with the Gallup result that Obama is at a 43% approval rating and 51% disapproval.
Expect a good bounce by Monday-Tuesday. Ryan pick was genius.
To beat a democrat you need an extra 5% to cover voter fraud.
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