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GALLUP : ROMNEY 47% OBAMA 45%
Gallup ^ | AUGUST 16, 2012 | Gallup

Posted on 08/17/2012 4:14:28 PM PDT by RobinMasters

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To: America_Right
Nah. They said the same thing in 04 and GOP turnout won. The thing in 08 that happened---and we were stunned---was that deep red areas like Centerville, a suburb south of Dayton, had 25% Rs voting for Obama. We thought because our #s turned out we'd be ok. How were we to know that a quarter of them would vote D?

Now, do you think that will happen in 12? No way.

41 posted on 08/17/2012 5:37:21 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: crz
The latest Battleground Poll and Seniors. No wonder Obama is in all out attack. They are losing with Seniors - BIG! Photobucket
42 posted on 08/17/2012 5:42:36 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: napscoordinator
Just being here legally doesn't give you the right to vote ~ that might be some sort of problem in some places where Democrat dominated voter registration offices don't know that.

This is a Socon issue ~ Romney doesn't care.

43 posted on 08/17/2012 5:43:26 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: profit_guy

Absolutely meaningless poll unless you as “who ya’ gonna’ vote fer” ~ plenty of worthless politicians win office every year.


44 posted on 08/17/2012 5:45:03 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

The poll DOES ask who they are going to vote for, hence Romney 51, Obama 46...


45 posted on 08/17/2012 5:50:25 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: crusader71
Sorry, he didn't win anything fair and square in Virginia. He tolerated irregular and unethical behavior by his acolytes.

He knows what was done by the MIttbots. A normal man would have been ashamed. He still sends out his junior acolytes to attack people who remind them of this.

I expect this thread to continue on into the wee hours of Sunday morning as the Temple Work guys come on board to focus on my comments yet one more time.

Do you realize how much your responses serve to up my count with Google.com so that threads with my stuff on them become dominant in the search patterns.

46 posted on 08/17/2012 5:50:25 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

CORRECTION: The poll DOES ask who they are going to vote for, hence Romney 51, Obama 45...


47 posted on 08/17/2012 5:52:05 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: profit_guy
But where is it on that board? I don't see it and just went back to the board to verify that ~ this is an ISSUES poll ~ not a preference poll. Name Recognition is not a preference ~ more like a warning.

BTW, all the old folks know the Democrats are trying to get their stuff. That's why we keep practicing the line: "Hey, you kids, get off my lawn"

48 posted on 08/17/2012 5:53:30 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Go Gordon

May???

August 10-16, 2012. Note: No Ryan bump per Gallup. Also 47 to 45 the previous 3 weeks.


49 posted on 08/17/2012 5:53:41 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: Ingtar

“Soros and company crashed the derivatives market”

Ban derivatives, if it ain’t real it can’t deal.


50 posted on 08/17/2012 5:59:52 PM PDT by A Strict Constructionist (We're an Oligrachy...Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God. Thomas Jefferson)
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To: muawiyah

Ok, you tell Battleground/Tarrance Group how to do their job!, lol

The top left corner pie chart is not a name recognition thing, it’s how the individuals polled intend to vote.

Fwiw, you might be wise to familiarize yourself with The Tarrance Group and their accuracy in predicting the outcome of the last 5 Presidential elections - overall there is none better.


51 posted on 08/17/2012 6:00:16 PM PDT by profit_guy
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To: Brilliant

I am voting for Ryan... writing him in at the top of the ticket. That seems the best course for me as I believe it wrong for me to vote for Romney.


52 posted on 08/17/2012 6:02:09 PM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
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To: Nifster

Where’s the poll of LIKELY voters and what does it say?


53 posted on 08/17/2012 6:34:25 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: PapaNew

Rasmussen is the best for right now and it has ryan and romney up 3 to 4 in Wisc Fla and Virginia...don;t know when they last did Ohio


54 posted on 08/17/2012 6:36:49 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: profit_guy
This is not a comprehensive poll ~ just of seniors. That's understood ~ but as far as them being really good at this, there's always somebody who is really good at this ~ usually somebody else ~ and then another ~ and soon.

Part of the reason is that economics change, polling firms hire on new people, others move elsewhere ~ it's really quite a show.

During this last 5 years we've had substantially reduced budgets for advertising, and market polling ~ the bread and butter part of the business ~ just hasn't been all it was.

It's possible NONE of the major firms in the business is getting close to the answer this time.

My thesis is that we have two fundamentally flawed and therefore weak candidates. People have a hard time wrapping their minds around either one of them ~ so as the parties begin to PUSH for recognition, people actually end up liking them less and less.

With both Obama and Romney familiarity breeds contempt ~ or at least a more than normal dose of disinterest.

Most polling techniques fail to catch two things ~ one of them is the number of people who refuse to answer questions about homosexual behavior or inclination for MORAL REASONS. It's probably well more than half ~ which distorts all the results.

The other thing those same techniques fail to deal with well are declining popularity in a two person match up. The problem is the same ~ they toss the outliers and non-responses before computing/imputing the preferences.

BTW, where you have a primary with 6 or 7 people in it the same pollsters are pretty effective in picking up on declining popularity because THEY DON"T TOSS OUTLIERS OR NONRESPONSES. In fact you frequently see the "NO PREFERENCE" reported right along with the rest of the polling.

So, with a race to the bottom, with declining popularity for both candidates, and pollsters tossing non-responses, there's no assurance these guys are any better than the others.

RIght?

55 posted on 08/17/2012 6:40:27 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Nifster

Anything nationwide from Rasmussen?


56 posted on 08/17/2012 6:42:39 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: LS
I know where Centerville is. :) I was born and raised in Dayton. Worked at the Centerville Rex for a year or so.

Anyway, I didn't know about the 25% crossover. That sucks. But, as you said, that will not happen this time.

57 posted on 08/17/2012 6:44:47 PM PDT by America_Right (Remember, Republicans have a lot more in common with Democrats than they do with Tea Partiers.)
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To: Nifster
Here, I've answered my own question.

Friday, August 17, 2012 -- The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 45%.

So between Gallup and Rasmussen, it looks like most unlikely voters are Republicans.

58 posted on 08/17/2012 6:45:56 PM PDT by PapaNew
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To: profit_guy
BTW, there's a failure in the board you probably don't notice. I had to do a black/white on it to find out they had white on blue ~ my blue color blindness is quite pronounced.

I did quite a bit of work with the handicapped compliance implementation where i was employed. Pass it along to your buddies that they're screwing with their market playing games with colors ~ they need to use shading, plus bold type.

Uh, not for me but for the guys who need to use Cialis, Levitra, Staxyn, Stendra, and Viagra they too can tell you they can and do develop blue blindness. If you're a pilot they'll ground you for it.

59 posted on 08/17/2012 6:46:22 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: LS
That area was mind-bogglingly Quaker and Abolitionist ~ used to hunt down slave catchers, dispatch them and ship their coffins by rail to one of my GGGrandfather's orchards for burial.

So, they rose up and voted for a slaver finally ~ simply amazing ~ that's what the Luo tribe did ~ catch slaves!

Bet they never thought of that though.

60 posted on 08/17/2012 6:50:26 PM PDT by muawiyah
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