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PPP: Obama has small lead in Nevada
Public Policy Polling ^ | August 29, 2012 | Tom Jensen

Posted on 09/02/2012 3:04:08 AM PDT by sf4dubya

PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama holding on to a small lead in the state over Mitt Romney, 50-47. Obama's advantage has been declining over the course of the year. In late March we found him up 8 points, in early June it was down to 6 points, and now the advantage is at 3.

Romney's keeping it close despite Democrats' registration advantage in Nevada because he's ahead 51-41 with independents. Romney is also blowing Obama out with white voters, 57-40. Obama leads anyway largely because he has a 67-28 advantage with Hispanics.

Nevadans narrowly disapprove of the job Obama is doing, with 48% giving him good marks to 49% who are unhappy with him. Romney has negative favorability numbers with 46% of voters viewing him positively to 49% with an unfavorable opinion. But that's up a net 9 points from June when he was at a -12 spread (41/53).

A lot of that improvement has to do with Republicans continuing to warm up to Romney. His favorability with them is now 85/13 after previously being 71/23. We saw similar improvement for him on our Iowa poll over the weekend with GOP voters where he's now at 82/12 compared to a previous 72/19.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: battleground; nevada; obama; romney
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1 posted on 09/02/2012 3:04:15 AM PDT by sf4dubya
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To: sf4dubya

After seeing the Roll Call vote last week from Nevada, I honestly think that most of Nevada is NUTS!!


2 posted on 09/02/2012 3:10:34 AM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Ann Archy

Those were our little Paulbots. Aren’t they special?

Had to put a special rule in place for our special nitwits... Sigh...


3 posted on 09/02/2012 3:15:47 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya

That was EMBARRASSING!!!


4 posted on 09/02/2012 3:22:02 AM PDT by Ann Archy ( ABORTION...the HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: Ann Archy

That was their goal. I can’t post links to RGJ, but you can do a search and see their stupid stunt they pulled at our state GOP convention a few months after the state caucus.

Not going to happen again. But people really need to get involved in their state GOP to prevent these things from happening.


5 posted on 09/02/2012 3:30:22 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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To: sf4dubya
"Obama leads anyway largely because he has a 67-28 advantage with Hispanics. "

This should let you know where we are headed as a nation.

6 posted on 09/02/2012 3:36:42 AM PDT by precisionshootist
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To: sf4dubya

I do not understand Nevada. Is all the Californians that moved there?

Harry Ried and the “Train from no where.”


7 posted on 09/02/2012 3:38:14 AM PDT by hadaclueonce (you are paying 12% more for fuel because of Ethanol. Smile big Corn Lobby,)
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To: sf4dubya

The same group polled said they voted 54% to 39 % in favor of Obama over McCain last election.


8 posted on 09/02/2012 3:39:52 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: precisionshootist

Yep. And that’s why you have the dems letting them flood the country illegally.


9 posted on 09/02/2012 3:40:57 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: johniegrad

Well then I guess R&R are screwed in Nevada.


10 posted on 09/02/2012 3:42:23 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Actually, I saw that as a major shift in voting sentiment and a positive sign along with the current polling trending toward Romney.


11 posted on 09/02/2012 3:48:39 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: Ann Archy
After seeing the Roll Call vote last week from Nevada, I honestly think that most of Nevada is NUTS!!

Dingy Harry's continued presence is a pretty big tip off in that regard.

12 posted on 09/02/2012 3:50:37 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: johniegrad

Exactly.


13 posted on 09/02/2012 3:53:17 AM PDT by M. Thatcher
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To: snarkytart

Need to re-read.

Who knows the final vote, but Obama did have an 8 pt lead in March that shrinks to 6 in June then shrinks to 3 most recently.

when that is happening, is that time say “we give up”?

Uh, no.


14 posted on 09/02/2012 3:53:24 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: sf4dubya

I cannot find the D/R breakdown. Overall, Obama underwater in approval, and Romney doing better with blacks than Bushbor McCain. So, till we know more, this is “not proven”. The trend, however is very good and at this rat will have the right result on election night-—but I don’t want to rely on trends.


15 posted on 09/02/2012 3:57:23 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: sf4dubya

Be wary of Public Policy Polling. They are a democrat outfit likely over sampling dems.


16 posted on 09/02/2012 4:05:10 AM PDT by Islander7 (There is no septic system so vile, so filthy, the left won't drink from to further their agenda)
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To: LS

38/34/28 = D/R/I. It’s there but you have to hit an additional link embedded in the source article.


17 posted on 09/02/2012 4:15:42 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: Ann Archy

well, yeah, I think we’ve known that for a while


18 posted on 09/02/2012 4:20:50 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: hadaclueonce
The problem is Vegas. Nevada is ranked something like number 5 in the country for violent crime. Take out Vegas and it would be down in the 40s with Wyoming. The same thing goes for voting. If you take out Vegas the state would be fairly conservative.

Back during the housing boom Vegas had a huge influx of people seeking jobs in the building and casino sectors. It seems many of them never left. Obama's people did a great job of getting the casino workers to vote for him in the primary, whether they were citizens or not.

19 posted on 09/02/2012 4:22:18 AM PDT by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: hadaclueonce

Look at the internals of the poll.

We have a libertarian and conservative base here in Nevada. When they protest vote or stay home, then the California refugees who still vote like they did in California plus the SEIU / Clark County factor determines the outcome of an election.

When the conservative base is motivated, good things like Gov. Brian Sandoval happen.

There are 50,000 more Democrats than Republicans in this state. If our base is not excited here, it will spell disaster for both the Senate and the Presidency.

Democrats from California came out here specifically for Obama GOTV efforts. They already started knocking on doors in my district, which leans Republican but I guess it is considered purple now.

If we do not have that level of involvement, I shudder to think what is going to happen.


20 posted on 09/02/2012 4:42:12 AM PDT by sf4dubya (I rebelled against my parents by becoming a conservative)
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