Youth vote and I am not kidding. There are those who were 17 when Obama was elected and now are 20 and 21 years old who hated the fact that they couldn’t vote for him then and are voting for him now. The ones who he pissed off that did vote for him and are sitting this one out are simply being replaced by the new ones.
Romney/Ryan have zero attack on the ground for the youth vote. They are being completely shut out and you have schools that are filled with teachers that are filling their heads with pro-Obama garbage.
Obama is nowhere near as popular as he was in 2008, but he is going to hold Florida and likely Ohio and that spells trouble for team Romney. Romney will likely regain Virginia and North Carolina for the Republicans but not having Florida and Ohio means he is going to have to pull off a miracle win in Wisconsin and New Hampshire and Maine all 3 are in play for him.
Re: “Obama is nowhere near as popular as he was in 2008, but he is going to hold Florida and likely Ohio and that spells trouble for team Romney. Romney will likely regain Virginia and North Carolina for the Republicans but not having Florida and Ohio means he is going to have to pull off a miracle win in Wisconsin and New Hampshire and Maine all 3 are in play for him.”
That too will be tough. According to realclearpolitics.com average of polls, here is the present situation in those three states you named, my favorite headache:
Maine +15.4 Obama, not in play by any definition
New Hampshire +3.5 average for Obama, last poll in August +6 Obama
Wisconsin +1.4 Obama, Ryan selection brought it up to a Romney advantage but last two polls back to Obama lead
Youth don’t vote - not in as big numbers as they did in 2008.
FL,VA and NC went to Obama by thin margins in 2008. Romney should win those.
The fight will be in Ohio.