That said, I still don't know that ANY pollster, including Ras, is getting the right mix of Dem/Rep. They all missed WI's recall, some bacly. They almost all missed low on the GOP House takeover in 2010.
I won't blow smoke and say I see a groundswell for Romney here in central-south OH, but on the other hand, I see NOTHING of the Obama "ground game" and enthusiasm that I saw four years ago.
-—— I won’t blow smoke and say I see a groundswell for Romney here in central-south OH, but on the other hand, I see NOTHING of the Obama “ground game” and enthusiasm that I saw four years ago.-——
Same here in MA. In 08, there was an O sticker on every tenth car. Now I see 1 or 2 a day, commuting for two hours a day. I see the same amount of Romney stickers.
The difference is, we are the silent, majority adult population. We’re not loud, petulant children. We just show up on election day.
I see NOTHING of the Obama “ground game” and enthusiasm that I saw four years ago.”
That is very, very true.
And we can’t forget that even with all of that, and a horrible campaign by a horrible candidate, McCain mustered 47% or so.....
It could happen. obama could lose. Very doable. Not easy, but very doable.
One thing everyone seems to be missing here is the 09-11 effect.
There is a 4-5 point “rally to the flag” effect during the anniversary of 09-11. Like it or not the fact O was in charge when the Seals got Bin Laden is going to help him in the polls for the next week or so.