[LS]

I would like it if people would stop with the 1980 comparisons, for the following reason: John Anderson was polling huge-—21%-—at this point in the 1980 campaign. What happened was that all those liberal/moderate Republicans he was appealing to came to Reagan. (All but 6%) So that made up a massive amount of Reagan’s comeback. There is no third party candidate this time around.

That said, I still think the polls are badly oversampling Dems and that Romney is slightly ahead in a “real world” sample. When you factor in turnout models, my prediction of 310 still stands.

[thingumbob]

LS,

We moved to Georgia a year ago from Ohio. My family and friends are in Northeast Ohio and I have asked them whats going on there this election cycle...since none of them are political junkies like us, the answers have been pretty vague. Good news is they are all voting Romney.

Anyhow, what are you seeing in your area of Ohio, if you don't mind sharing....

[presidio9]

The ONLY polls that matters are those of "Likely Voters." The first question any honest pollster should ask is "Are you planning to vote in this year's election." If the person on the other end of the line answers "yes," the reality is that he or she may end up voting. If the person anwers no, the pollster should hang up immediately.

This is not rocket sience. The Eagles are a pretty good team with Micheal Vick at quarterback. If he is not in the game, his production is irrelevant.