Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: sanjuanbob

Are you kidding? You actually believe this garbage poll?
Where’s your guts-—NEVER QUIT!


17 posted on 09/14/2012 12:20:26 PM PDT by charwel (charwel--Proud sister of a Swiftie)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies ]


To: charwel

Are you kidding? You actually believe this garbage poll?
Where’s your guts-—NEVER QUIT!
________________________________________________________

Didn’t you notice /s ?


25 posted on 09/14/2012 12:35:31 PM PDT by sanjuanbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies ]

To: charwel
He's being sarcastic. That's what the /s means at the end of his post. At this point in time, don't pay attention to any polls except Rasmussen. Most of the polls are released by liberal organizations that are trying to discourage Republicans. When we get to within about two weeks from election day, you'll see these pollsters start to unwind the bias in their polls so that their final polls aren't way off from actual election results. That's when you'll see Romney "magically" moving up in the polls, with the final polls showing a very close election.

The liberal pollsters do this every time and it never works for them. I think they do this because liberals are vain front-runners by nature and they get a kick out of thinking they are way out in front. If they had any brains, they would figure out that the best bias to put into polls (for either side) is to slant the polls towards a tie, which prevents both discouragement and overconfidence on your side. These polls are likely to actually hurt Obama by creating complacency and overconfidence among his supporters.

I also suspect that polling is becoming increasingly difficult because of all the technology people use to block annoying commercial phone calls, mainly through answering machines and caller ID. And who has the most phone blocking technology in their houses?...well higher-income conservative business people, of course, who can afford the technology and are busy doing productive work and don't want to be bothered by pollsters and tele-marketers. In the end, the results of this election may greatly surprise all but the very best pollsters.

Just to make you feel better, the last swing state poll I saw from Ramussen (if I recall the numbers correctly), had Romney leading by 46-45. If those numbers are about right, and Romney just take five points on the undecideds while one point goes for third party candidates, then Romney wins the combined swing state vote by 51-48 and wins the electoral vote by a substantial margin. The popular vote could easily end up tied. I think after the liberal exit polling debacle in 2004, conservatives and independents don't pay much attention to polls now and the polls mainly just make democrats get complacent and overconfident. One last thought: watch the attitude of Romney and Ryan, who know what's really going on in their internal polls. They look calm and confident to me.

28 posted on 09/14/2012 12:49:45 PM PDT by socialism_stinX (If knowledge is power, then why is the MSM mafia so powerful?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson