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Obama has slim lead over Romney in presidential race, UConn/Courant poll director says
Middletown Press ^

Posted on 09/20/2012 6:31:22 PM PDT by Arthurio

By Mary O'Leary

Special to Middletown Press

STORRS – President Barack Obama has a slim lead over Republican Mitt Romney, according to a University of Connecticut/Courant poll, but the perception among voters is much higher that Obama will win the contest.

The poll of likely voters said Obama will win 46 percent to 43 percent for Romney, but 52 percent of those polled in the national survey say the president will win re-election, while 27 percent say it will be Romney.

UConn poll director Jennifer Necci Dineen said that prediction could influence turnout, which will be crucial in the contest.

“That’s the X factor for Obama right now,” Dineen said in a statement. “If Democrats can convince voters that Obama’s re-election is inevitable, Republicans who are less enthusiastic about Romney are more likely to stay home on Election Day.”

(Excerpt) Read more at middletownpress.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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1 posted on 09/20/2012 6:31:26 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: All
Well, there you have it...

“That’s the X factor for Obama right now,” Dineen said in a statement. “If Democrats can convince voters that Obama’s re-election is inevitable, Republicans who are less enthusiastic about Romney are more likely to stay home on Election Day.”


2 posted on 09/20/2012 6:32:02 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

I honestly don’t know what if anything I will do with the top of the ticket in November, but there is no way I am going to squander an opportunity to vote conservatives where there are any, from Senator to schoolboard.


3 posted on 09/20/2012 6:34:56 PM PDT by Psalm 144 ("I didn't leave the Democratic Party. The party left me." Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: Arthurio

I would think that the specter of 0 winning would make Republicans MORE enthusiastic about voting.


4 posted on 09/20/2012 6:36:01 PM PDT by kimchi lover ("I can see November from Wisconsin")
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To: Psalm 144

Good. I’d hate to see “true conservatives” allow Pelosi to retake power because they sat this one out.


5 posted on 09/20/2012 6:36:15 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Psalm 144

Insanity.


6 posted on 09/20/2012 6:37:36 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Arthurio

This is the most important election of our lifetime. Get your conservative friends and take them with you to vote.


7 posted on 09/20/2012 6:38:20 PM PDT by Jaguarmike
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To: Arthurio

Yeah, but If Obummer’s 47% think their goodies are in the bag, maybe they’ll stay home. Cuts both ways. They also forget the down slate races.

It may be like 2010. Those of us voting for our Senators and Representatives may just drag Mitt along with us.


8 posted on 09/20/2012 6:38:29 PM PDT by bleach (If I agreed with you, we would both be wrong.)
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To: Arthurio

I am already looking into the specifics of renouncing my citizenship should Bambi win. I just don’t want to be a co-citizen sodaspeak with so many stupid people. I mean, do you really want to live in a country where upwards of 70M people voted for Obama? I think not. The US, as I understand it, is one of the few countries which allows you give up your citizenship and remain stateless. I can continue to live here, but have the glorious satisfaction of saying, “He ain’t my f*****g president.”


9 posted on 09/20/2012 6:39:03 PM PDT by huckfillary (qual tyo ta)
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To: Arthurio

If you go to the homepages of some of the more notorious search websites like Yahoo, MSN, etc., Barry already has all 57 states locked up. According to MSN, Soetoro now has Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin in the bag. Rasmussen doesn’t seem to see it that way.


10 posted on 09/20/2012 6:40:13 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Proud to be a 53 percenter American.)
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To: Arthurio

If Romney does not defeat Obama somehow-someway, it is on the GOP-E not the conservative voters!


11 posted on 09/20/2012 6:44:04 PM PDT by yield 2 the right (2012, the election year that stinks!)
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To: Arthurio

subtext: Republicans are lazy and won’t bother to stop to vote for Romney on the way back from the polo club, whereas hard working Democrats will literally crawl over in their prius to make sure their vote is counted.


12 posted on 09/20/2012 6:44:28 PM PDT by palmer (Jim, please bill me 50 cents for this completely useless post)
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To: Arthurio
“That’s the X factor for Obama right now,” Dineen said in a statement. “If Democrats can convince voters that Obama’s re-election is inevitable, Republicans who are less enthusiastic about Romney are more likely to stay home on Election Day.”

That nearly happened in Florida in 2000, when the MSM called it for Gore early. Don't let the MSM do it again.

13 posted on 09/20/2012 6:46:55 PM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (Ho, ho, hey, hey, I'm BUYcotting Chick-Fil-A)
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To: yield 2 the right
The issue is not the GOP-E, the issue is 0bama, good grief get your priorities straight.
14 posted on 09/20/2012 6:47:15 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: huckfillary

I look at the electoral map and there’s a heck of lot more connected red than blue. We could always vote them out.

We’ve got most of the resources and the breadbasket. Seriously outside of bad TV and the Kardashian’s, what do they contribute?


15 posted on 09/20/2012 6:47:30 PM PDT by bleach (If I agreed with you, we would both be wrong.)
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To: Arthurio

Internals of this poll? I sense a University-based BS model.


16 posted on 09/20/2012 6:48:20 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arthurio

It will be 2010 all over again.


17 posted on 09/20/2012 6:50:17 PM PDT by MtnClimber (I did not vote for Zero. Someone else did that.)
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To: Arthurio

the GOP paid the consequences for doing this in 2008- it will not happen again...


18 posted on 09/20/2012 6:52:02 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Arthurio
Dem +8 model. Independents for Romney by 7 with high undecideds among independents. Obama losing 8% of demvote, Romney losing 4% of R vote. Indies only 11% of sample. Garbage poll but the takeaway is Romney continues to beat Obama among independents and he is consolidating the R vote. He will get better than 95% of the R vote and if he wins independents by 7 Obama can't win.
19 posted on 09/20/2012 6:57:36 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: Arthurio
Internals.
20 posted on 09/20/2012 7:00:15 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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