Posted on 09/21/2012 7:03:56 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided...
Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 30% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Thirty-nine percent (39%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -9
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
No... He actually has the GOP +3 or +4. He does a periodic update based on the samples he receives in his polls... So... he’s the most accurate pollster out there...
What exactly did he say?
No look at the trend. Obama had 1 really usually good day. Those happen in daily polling from time to time. The trend is all ready starting to flatten out suggesting this blip is statistical noise, not a new trend.
What were the results of the swing state poll?
Welcome to FR..
Hmmm, not sure I’m calling him a sellout. I’m just pointing out the fact that his results are not without some bias.
I keep saying it over and over, and I’ll keep saying it.....
FORGET ABOUT ROMNEY’S NUMBERS, just look at Obama’s numbers. If the poll says “Romney 48/Obama 46”, it’s the same thing as “Obama 46/Romney 45”, because in both cases, the incumbent, the known quantity, the candidate who has a record that they will be judged on is at 46%. So if Obama gains a point and Romney loses two points, that’s not a 3 point swing. It’s just Obama gaining a point.
If the final poll is “Obama 46/Romney 45”, then Romney wins and he wins big, because an incumbent who can’t get above 46% will not win. When Ras starts showing Obama at 50% or above on a consistent basis, then you can say he’s ahead, until then, he’s not ahead.
I think (and hope) that you are right that this latest attack wave on Romney is fading.
Incorrect.
Rasmussen had a different weighting for every day in June 2012, as an example. Went from a low of +3% to a high of +14%. Can’t tell you how they got the figures. So, you can believe that the same is true in September 2012.
Odd, because in June, Republicans had an advantage in total registration/party ID of +1.4%.
Thank you!
By today you would think most of the damage of the 47% video has been done and if Romney is only down by one that’s really not that bad. You would think Obama’s comments on Unision yesterday will start to show up in the polls.
Obama gained six points on the week.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends
Than why was Ras bashing Romney today like previous people have said?
No, not you personally, didn’t mean to imply that. Sorry. But the term has actually been used against Rasmussen here, especially when his polls started consistently showing that McCain was about to get his clock cleaned.
Never gnash my teeth. Obama leading in Rasmussen is not a good thing. And yes 100% is an exaggeration based on one poll showing that, however Obama will get at least 95 % of the black vote.
Dick Morris and many here think the black vote will decrease from 2008. I doubt it. Blacks want to reelect Obama big time, and they react as a group when he is under attack. Plus there is lots of redistribution going on and they know it.
Didn’t say we will lose, but when some now start asking for Rasmussen’s internals, it’s grasping at straws.
Otoh Gallup has Obama’s approval down. How most Americans could possibly approve Obama’s performance is beyond me.
You are correct and I’m just saying but, perhaps Rasmussen is adjusting to reflect a higher dem and specifically higher black turn out, as it develops.
Can we win this? Absolutely. But white voters and specifically conservative voters need to know they are in the fight of their lives.
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