[KansasGirl]

Romney leads with independents 49-41 in this latest CNN poll. They had to have way over-sampled Rats again.

[SamAdams76]

They had to have way over-sampled Rats again.

They did. Their sample is D+8. The 2008 turnout was D+7. No way do Democrats repeat that again.

[princeofdarkness]

Funny that translates to a 54.4% - 45.6% advantage. Has any candidate ever won the Presidency by losing the independent vote by 8+ points and losing a higher amount of crossover voters than their opponent? I'm pretty sure that has never happened.

[cookcounty]

"Romney leads with independents 49-41 in this latest CNN poll. They had to have way over-sampled Rats again."

And another oddity is that the race is only 2-3 points nationally in favor of Obama, but in the battleground states, Obama is doing just fantastically.

I was struck by the comment of one pollster that only 9% of people contacted agree to participate in a poll, which is way down from 36% a decade ago. Is their a political bias in who responds? Would a small businessman (likely a Republican) take the time to respond as readily as an unemployed deadbeat sitting on the couch all day eating his food-stamp cheetos? (likely a Dem). Their assumption is yes.