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Keep in mind that ALL the data in this poll is PRE-debate.

Tomorrow's poll will have the first post debate sample in it and Sunday's poll will have the FULL post debate sample, although it will include both Friday and Saturday, which are not good Republican polling days

1 posted on 10/04/2012 7:23:50 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Not only that, but keep in mind that Ras has admitted his new polling numbers showing O consistently UP, are with a D+5 sampling model. He said he did that because he kept getting more self ID’d rats than in earlier polls. Even before this, he was using a D+ model, albeit far less in number than polls showing O way ahead. If Ras only would go back to his previous sampling model, his pre-debate numbers would essentially have the race a dead heat within the margin of error.


2 posted on 10/04/2012 7:29:17 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
include both Friday and Saturday, which are not good Republican polling days.

LOL. That's funny. And how do you explain Romney losing 2 points on Wednesday?

3 posted on 10/04/2012 7:31:40 AM PDT by paul544
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To: SoftwareEngineer
10,000 polls in this election cycle are about 9,995 too many.

We need to do the work and forget all this "modeling" garbage.

Yesterday I contacted six people about voting. Today's goal is the same. That's how we'll win.

6 posted on 10/04/2012 7:38:02 AM PDT by The Citizen Soldier (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history when everyone stands around reloading.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
All numbers PRE-Debate

What debate?

7 posted on 10/04/2012 7:39:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Tomorrow will have some west coast post debate stuff in it. Saturday will have the numbers from today rolled in, and Tuesday will have three full days worked in.

But, based on the online stuff I am reading, the Dems would be better off having the Ryan/Biden debate after the next Presidential one. Obama got whacked, Biden is going to look like a fool, and Obama will have to deal with both going into round 2.

Mitt needed to hit it big, and he did.

It was Obama’s twentieth anniversary last night. In his mind he was confident he was going to get “it” by the end of the day. My bet is he did not think Mitt was the one to give him it.

Good thing Reggie Love wasn’t around. Methinks he would have gotten roughed up last night. Yeah...he walked into a doorknob.


9 posted on 10/04/2012 7:41:44 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (I am NOT from Vermont. I am from MA. And I don't support Romney. Please read before "assuming.")
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Just wait until the electorate witnesses Joe Biden bringing sexy back to the dem party in next week’s debate against Paul Ryan. LOL!!!


14 posted on 10/04/2012 8:22:57 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Umm, all numbers are not pre-debate.

It is important to note, however, that most of the interviews for this survey were conducted before last night’s first presidential debate between Obama and Romney.

Most numbers, yes. All numbers, no.

15 posted on 10/04/2012 8:27:22 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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