Looks like Romney got a huge bump on Thursday. And then Obama got a bump from jobs report. But not much.
So after debate and jobs report, edge I would say is with Romney. He was down 2 (pre debate/pre jobs report), and now even - and this is also a 3day weekend poll, Fri-Sat-Sun, which tends to favor Obama.
Let’s see where we are upon Friday morning’s poll release.
That should shake out the noise and provide a clearer picture of where race really stands. I think Romney will be up by 2-3 points.
General consensus from both sides is that a minimum of 80% of likely voters are locked in...that is, nothing will change their mind as to which candidate they support..and I suspect it may be as much as 90$...but let's use the 80% number.
Mitt got a bump of about 4%..from 2% down to 2% ahead...if not more.
That means that one debate caused 20% of voters that are open to changing their mind to in fact do so...Mitt has the trend in his favor..