[nhwingut]

You got me. I think he’s being cautious.

If you look at his polling in the past it has always reflected his party id survey. I mean why bother with a party id survey and then ignore it? Makes no sense.

For example in 2008 his party id survey had D+6 and that’s what his sample was based on, D+6.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation

It’s weird.

[Eva]

Read this article about Gallup and then remember that the Obama administrtion sued Gallup just before the convention. Then ask yourself if other polling companies have capitulated to the pressures from the White House.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/morning-jay-politics-and-gallup-poll_654143.html

http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/08/22/13417662-us-sues-gallup-alleging-pollster-overcharged-on-government-contracts?lite

[Personal Responsibility]

Why bother with a party id survey and then ignore it?

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That’s the question. I can think of three answers:

1 - By weighting it differently, the race becomes tight and we spend time on his site, people sign up and he makes money.

2 - Political pressure by the Obama camp to not show the race as a Romney lead

3 - Peer pressure to not show the race as a Romney lead in order to keep in line with the other polls