IA and OH are not going to Go for Obama... The campaign has been in self denial from day one. Obama won’t ever pull out of OH, no matter how bad it is, since he can’t win without it, but he’s not going to win it.
If PA is polling at a few points, Obama has no chance in hell at OHIO.. Philly EASILY tilts PA 5-8 Points Dem... Ohio doesn’t have that deal with overcoming that dead weight. No way in hell Ohio is going for Obama if PA is polling 2-3 points. Not only will Ohio go Romney, its going to go Romney by a 4-5 point margin MINIMAL.
I can tell you that in Democrat-controlled Cuyahoga county (Cleveland), I am seeing nearly a 50-50 split of Obama and Romney signs and bumperstickers. Much different than in 2008. Hopefully the trend holds.