Posted on 10/20/2012 12:27:09 PM PDT by Arthurio
PPP's newest Ohio poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 49-48, down from a 51-46 advantage a week ago. Romney's closing the gap thanks to a lead among independents (49/42) and because the Republican base is continuing to become more unified around him with 90% of GOP partisans now saying they'll support him compared to 85% a week ago. Ohio voters think Obama won the debate this week 48-39, but that doesn't seem to extend to more people voting for him.
Obama does have one big advantage in Ohio though- he's already winning the election there. 21% of voters in the state say they've already voted, and they report having supported Obama 66/34. Romney has the 52/44 advantage among those yet to cast their ballots but obviously it's easier to count on votes that are already in the bank.
There are some troubling signs for Obama in the poll though. Ohioans trust Romney more on the economy by a 51/47 margin and trust him more on Libya 49/47. Obama had the advantage on each of those issues in our poll last weekend. Voters do trust Obama over Romney by a 52/44 margin on women's issues, and Obama leads 55/41 with female voters in the poll.
Romney's growing momentum in Ohio is built on strong support from men (57/41) and white voters (55/42). Obama continues to have the small overall advantage based on his strength with women, African Americans (91/9), and young voters (52/39).
Other notes from Ohio:
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
ping
Plus 8 Dems and +8 on women, so Romney is well positioned in Ohio.
Democrats have a + 8% advantage in this poll
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1020.pdf
Romney wins ohio easily if we are not looking at a 2008 turnout demographic.
I’m surprised that 9% of blacks are willing to say they will vote against Obama.
BTW, do you know what the D/R/I weighting is on this poll?
He will have to be up by at least 4 to counter the fraud vote.
The +8 women and +8 Rat should give him that.
I remember the panic during and after the debate from Andrew Sullivan. He was tweeting, “Obama just blew the entire election.”
I thought it was hyperbole. Not so much anymore.
A race that was all but called over a month ago is now looking at a Romney landslide.
Karma!
The early voting stats do not match the Ohio Sec State’s returns on their website. Did they get this info in the poll?? Why? Do they really think rep voters are going to cast votes for Obama??
The early voting stats do not match the Ohio Sec State’s returns on their website. Did they get this info in the poll?? Why? Do they really think rep voters are going to cast votes for Obama??
Sweet ! D+ 8 is not happening in Ohio.
Does this make sense?
[ 21% of voters in the state say they’ve already voted, and they report having supported Obama 66/34. ]
21 and wasn’t it the same last week???
“PPP’s newest Ohio poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 49-48, down from a 51-46 advantage a week ago.”
The trend is clearly our friend..... :)
any idea of what the breakdown was men-to-women in ‘08 or ;’10 midterms???
Romney is kicking azz in OH.
21% of OH voters HAVE NOT voted already either!
I don’t know, but it seems they think all Dems will vote Obama, which is BS, Romney will take at least 15% of registered Democrats.
I do not think they are telling the truth.
Women + 8 (which is ridiculous)
Rat 42, R 34, I 23
Rats over sampled by 8. Is under sampld for sure and Rs pssobly as well.
Romney is most likely winning Ohio.
I can’t help but wonder how Jim and the Stasi are taking all this.
I hope that BO is not getting 42% of the white vote. That would equal his percentage from the last election...I don’t believe the numbers are accurate. I think Romney is doing far better than this.
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